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Rational Asset Prices
[report]
2002
unpublished
The mean, covariability, and predictability of the return of different classes of financial assets challenge the rational economic model for an explanation. The unconditional mean aggregate equity premium is almost seven percent per year and remains high after adjusting downwards the sample mean premium by introducing prior beliefs about the stationarity of the price-dividend ratio and the~non!forecastability of the long-term dividend growth and price-dividend ratio. Recognition that
doi:10.3386/w8826
fatcat:jlakd3oa7vhstkn6xqabfcxpyu