THE ROLE OF OPERATING CASH FLOW IN CREDIT RATING: INVESTMENT-GRADE FIRMS VS. SPECULATIVEGRADE FIRMS

Xu Wang, Jenny Zhang, William Sanjian Zhang
2012 Risk Governance and Control: Financial Markets & Institutions  
Despite Standard and Poor's long-standing claim that cash flow is a critical aspect of its rating decisions, the credit rating literature has failed to document a significant relation between credit rating and cash flow measures. A possible explanation of this discrepancy is that the rating agency weighs operating cash flow differently between investment-grade and speculative-grade issuers. Performing an ordered probit analysis of a panel of firms from 1989 to 2006, we find operating cash flow
more » ... s positively associated with credit ratings for speculative-grade issuers, but not for investment-grade issuers. In contrast, accrual-based earnings are found to be positively associated with credit ratings, but only for investment-grade firms. Our study thus solves a discrepancy between industry documents and the academic literature.
doi:10.22495/rgcv2i2art3 fatcat:3rs4zuzxdfav3p6dx7shmh3oie