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The dynamics of commodity return comovements
2021
Journal of futures markets
We compare factor models with respect to their ability to explain commodity futures return comovements. A simple one-factor model based on the first principal component extracted from a panel of commodity returns outperforms a macroeconomic model, and explains most of the realized comovements. We find that intersectoral correlations display more time variations than intrasectoral correlations. Dissecting the evidence further, we find that comovements are driven by the variation of the factor as
doi:10.1002/fut.22222
fatcat:yz7u35dtdjhijd3z2brjpro73a