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Growth at Risk From Climate Change
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
How will climate change affect risks to economic activity? Research on climate impacts has tended to focus on effects on the average level of economic growth. I examine whether climate change may make severe contractions in economic activity more likely using quantile regressions linking growth to temperature. The effects of temperature on downside risks to economic growth are large and robust across specifications. These results suggest the growth at risk from climate change is large—climatedoi:10.17016/feds.2021.054 fatcat:kdhmgvfv6vfvdjm4ymzp3pzqyy