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THE CONTRIBUTION OF BUSINESS CONFIDENCE INDICATORS IN SHORT-TERM FORECASTING OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
2012
Annals of the University of Oradea: Economic Science
In this paper we study the usefulness of using confidence indicators derived from business surveys in the assessment of the state of economy and in short-term forecasting. For this purpose, we consider the relationship between the industrial confidence indicator and industrial production index in Romania and other European Union member states. We apply graphic methods to analyze the dynamics of variables considered, cointegration and causality tests, as well as the synchronization analysis of
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