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Estimating and backtesting risk under heavy tails
[article]
2022
While the estimation of risk is an important question in the daily business of banking and insurance, many existing plug-in estimation procedures suffer from an unnecessary bias. This often leads to the underestimation of risk and negatively impacts backtesting results, especially in small sample cases. In this article we show that the link between estimation bias and backtesting can be traced back to the dual relationship between risk measures and the corresponding performance measures, and
doi:10.48550/arxiv.2201.10454
fatcat:w3ifwq65ebdnzndigx6e57jpkm