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Expectations as Reference Points: Field Evidence from Experienced Subjects in a Competitive, High-Stakes Environment
2012
Social Science Research Network
We show that professional soccer players exhibit reference-dependent behavior during matches. Controlling for the state of the match and for unobserved heterogeneity, we show on a minute-by-minute basis that a player breaches the rules of the game, measured by the referee's assignment of cards, with a significantly higher probability if his team is behind the expected match outcome, measured by pre-play betting odds of large professional bookmakers. We derive these results in two independent
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2053180
fatcat:xqswsfn5orb6feq4sdcms5orje