Risk Assessment of Heavy Snowfall Considering Climate Change: Focusing on Damage to Roads and Buildings

Sang-hyeok Lee, Jung Eun Kang
2019 Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation  
As the amount of snowfall and clouds is increasing due to climate change, the severity of resulting damages is also increasing. According to the climate change scenario, the frequency and intensity of snowfall are expected to increase, for which proper adaptation efforts are needed. In Korea, although studies have focused on the high temperature phenomenon and wind/flood disasters, little research using various approaches has been conducted on heavy snowfall. Therefore, this study examines both
more » ... the present and future heavy snowfall risks as well as high-risk areas in terms of damages to roads and buildings. The current heavy snowfall risk is assessed based on previously reported data using the Bayesian inference, whereas future risk is assessed using the snow cover data calculated for climate change scenarios. Current risks are high in some areas located near the coasts of Gangwon-do, Jeollanam-do, and Chungcheongnam-do. In the future, heavy snowfall risk will expand over time to the southern and inland regions of the Korean peninsula.
doi:10.9798/kosham.2019.19.2.57 fatcat:f5z532fvsnfqpjxqdsistdid7u