Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy

Chun Chang, Kaiji Chen, Daniel F. Waggoner, Tao A. Zha
2018 Social Science Research Network  
We make three contributions in this paper. First, we provide a core of macroeconomic time series usable for systematic studies on China's macroeconomy. Second, we document, through various empirical methods, the robust findings about the striking patterns of trend and cycle. Third, we build a theoretical model that accounts for these facts. The model's mechanism and assumptions are supported by institutional details and disaggregated time series distinctive of Chinese characteristics.
doi:10.2139/ssrn.3169738 fatcat:2cb5iqluzjelnpdagizxca7u3e