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Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy
2018
Social Science Research Network
We make three contributions in this paper. First, we provide a core of macroeconomic time series usable for systematic studies on China's macroeconomy. Second, we document, through various empirical methods, the robust findings about the striking patterns of trend and cycle. Third, we build a theoretical model that accounts for these facts. The model's mechanism and assumptions are supported by institutional details and disaggregated time series distinctive of Chinese characteristics.
doi:10.2139/ssrn.3169738
fatcat:2cb5iqluzjelnpdagizxca7u3e