大震災時における道路の通行可能確率の推定

塚口 博司, 小川 圭一, 本郷 伸和
Since the Hanshin-Awaji large earthquake disaster, the street blockage in times of earthquake disaster has been examined in several urban areas. But the quantitative data regarding the street blockage by earthquake disasters almost do not exist other than the Hanshin-Awaji large earthquake disaster. Therefore it is meaningful to propose a presumption method of applicable street blockage probability to the other urban area on the basis of the street dysfunction data in the Hanshin-Awazi large
more » ... thquake disaster. In order to achieve the goal, this study adopts a method of presuming the blockade probability of optional street section classified by width as the 1st stage, in the suffering area of the Hanshin-Awaji large earthquake disaster, considering the roadside quality in object areas, as the 2nd stage, to improve the model. In this manuscript, after verifying that occurrence of street dysfunction has followed to Poisson distribution concerning 1st stage, a method of calculating blockade per unit length is proposed.
doi:10.34382/00008934 fatcat:zbi4ioevgfhr7aw4l6obu5ittu