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Seasonally Resolved Distributional Trends of North American Temperatures Show Contraction of Winter Variability
Journal of Climate
There is considerable interest in determining whether recent changes in the temperature distribution extend beyond simple shifts in the mean. The authors present a framework based on quantile regression, wherein trends are estimated across percentiles. Pointwise trends from surface station observations are mapped into continuous spatial fields using thin-plate spline regression. This procedure allows for resolving spatial dependence of distributional trends, providing uncertainty estimates thatdoi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0363.1 fatcat:lnedsyqm2jhfxe3r3hgvfrngva