Does exchange rate effects the trade balances really? Evidence from Pakistan

Faisal Asghar, Mubeen Asif, Muhammad Haseeb Aslam, Rao Qamar Bahadur, Khalid Mahmood
2020 Journal of administrative and business studies  
ER In lation Pakistan Trade de icit Exchange Rate (ER) stability is an important factor in determining the economic position of an economy. Speculation in the exchange rate shows the poor performance of a country. A change in the exchange rate may affect the in lation as well as interest rate in the country and Pakistan in not an exception to this relationship. In this paper, we have tried to examine the impact of exchange rate on the trade balance. We used the data for 30 years and tested the
more » ... elationship with the help of correlation and regression. The indings show that Pakistan's is facing a de icit in trade balance continuously and correlation is highly negative. This means that the small open economy of Pakistan has low saving rate and thus NX (trade balance) is negative. This is due to the continuous depreciation of currency or in another word due to an increase in the exchange rate.
doi:10.20474/jabs-6.2.2 fatcat:tslndyt2grbkhhj3x6wuap5p3u