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Partisan Cycles and the Consumption Volatility Puzzle
2011
Social Science Research Network
Standard real business cycle theory predicts consumption should be smoother than output, as observed in developed countries. In this paper we provide a novel explanation of the consumption volatility puzzle based on political frictions. We develop a dynamic stochastic political economy model where parties that disagree on the size of government (right-wing and left-wing) alternate in power and face aggregate uncertainty. While productivity shocks only affect consumption through responses to
doi:10.2139/ssrn.1866431
fatcat:dqp32rca4zasfa3pmg3ia444ua