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Probabilistic Forecast of Temperature in Pyeongchang using Homogeneous and Nonhomogeneous Regression Models
동질성과 비 동질성 회귀모델을 이용한 평창지역 기온에 대한 확률론적 예측
2016
Journal of Climate Research
동질성과 비 동질성 회귀모델을 이용한 평창지역 기온에 대한 확률론적 예측
This paper considers a homogeneous multiple regression (HMR) model and a non-homogeneous multiple regression model, that is, ensemble model output statistics (EMOS), which are easy to implement postprocessing techniques to calibrate probabilistic forecasts that take the form of Gaussian probability density functions for continuous weather variables. The HMR and EMOS predictive means are biascorrected weighted averages of the ensemble member forecasts and the EMOS predictive variance is a linear
doi:10.14383/cri.2016.11.1.87
fatcat:bjm5qiwrfvhbfhkug6zilu77zu