The Welfare Effect of Foreign Monetary Conservatism with Non-Atomistic Wage Setters

Vincenzo Cuciniello
2011 Social Science Research Network  
In a micro-founded framework in line with the new open economy macroeconomics, the paper shows that more centralized wage setting (CWS) and central bank conservatism (CBC) curb unemployment only if labor market distortions are sizeable. When labor market distortions are su¢ ciently low, employment may be maximized by atomistic wage setters or a populist CB. The comparison between a national monetary policy (NMP) regime and the monetary union (MU) reveals that a move to a MU boosts in ‡ation in
more » ... he absence of strategic e¤ects. However, when strategic interactions between CB(s) and trade unions are taken into account, the shift to a MU when monopoly distortions are sizeable unambiguously increases welfare and employment either in presence of a su¢ ciently conservative CB or with a fully CWS. Finally, when labor market distortions are less relevant, an ultra-populist CB or atomistic wage setters are optimal for the society and a shift to a MU regime is unambiguously welfare improving.
doi:10.2139/ssrn.1960503 fatcat:4kvg4b73uzflbk54dzp5xdg6vm