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Demand Estimation and Ordering Under Censoring: Stock-Out Timing Is (Almost) All You Need
2015
Operations Research
Retailers facing uncertain demand can use observed sales to update demand estimates. However, such learning is limited by the amount of inventory carried; when demand exceeds inventory (i.e., when a stock-out event occurs), a retailer in general cannot observe actual demand. We propose using observations on the timing of sales occurrences in a Bayesian fashion to learn about demand, and we analyze this learning method for a multiperiod newsvendor setting. We find that, as previously shown with
doi:10.1287/opre.2014.1326
fatcat:cyb3jks6vve2nplfdjsm3o63se