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Implied PDFs: Estimation, Testing and Applications in the Eurodollar Market
2004
Social Science Research Network
This paper develops a method for estimating implied PDFs for futures prices from American options. The restricting assumption of log-normally distributed returns is relaxed with the use of the more ‡exible distributional form of an Edgeworth Series Expansion (ESE ) of a log-normal distribution. The method is applied to Eurodollar futures options market data and a plethora of tests is employed to explore its capacity. The proposed model is found to be able to estimate PDFs that can capture the
doi:10.2139/ssrn.566481
fatcat:gmmg634f2jcklj2suwnzxrymry