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Probabilistic Forecasting of Surface Ozone with a Novel Statistical Approach
2017
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
The recent change in US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) surface ozone regulation, lowering surface ozone daily maximum 8-hour average (MDA8) exceedance threshold from 75 ppbv to 70 ppbv, poses significant challenges to US air quality (AQ) forecasters responsible for ozone MDA8 forecasts. The forecasters, supplied by only a few AQ model products, end up relying heavily on self-developed tools. To help US AQ forecasters, this study explores surface ozone MDA8 forecasting tool based solely
doi:10.1175/jamc-d-16-0110.1
fatcat:2gjp6zc33nabzfgyhx55gr4w3m