Rebleeding in peptic ulcer bleeding – a nationwide cohort study of 19,537 patients

Stig B. Laursen, Adrian J. Stanley, Loren Laine, Ove B. Schaffalitzky de Muckadell
2022 figshare.com  
Rebleeding is a frequent complication of peptic ulcer bleeding (PUB). The associated prognosis remains rather unclear because previous studies generally also included non-ulcer lesions. We aimed to identify predictors for rebleeding; clarify the prognostic consequence of rebleeding; and develop a score for predicting rebleeding. Nationwide cohort study of consecutive patients presenting to hospital with PUB in Denmark from 2006–2014. Logistic regression analyses were used to identify predictors
more » ... for rebleeding, evaluate the association between rebleeding and 30-day mortality, and develop a score to predict rebleeding. Patients with persistent bleeding were excluded. Among 19,258 patients (mean age 74 years, mean ASA-score 2.4), 10.8% rebled, and 10.2% died. Strongest predictors for rebleeding were endoscopic high-risk stigmata of bleeding (Odds Ratio (OR): 2.12 [95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.91–2.36]), bleeding from duodenal ulcers (OR: 1.87 [95% CI: 1.69–2.08]), and presentation with hemodynamic instability (OR: 1.55 [95% CI: 1.38–1.73]). Among patients with all three factors (7.9% of total), 24% rebled, 50% with rebleeding failed endoscopic therapy, and 23% died. Rebleeding was associated with increased mortality (OR: 2.04 [95% CI: 1.78–2.32]). We were unable to develop an accurate score to predict rebleeding. Rebleeding occurs in ∼10% of patients with PUB and is overall associated with a two-fold increase in 30-day mortality. Patients with hemodynamic instability, duodenal ulcers, and high-risk endoscopic stigmata are at highest risk of rebleeding. When rebleeding occurs in such patients, consultation with surgery and/or interventional radiology should be obtained prior to repeat endoscopy.
doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.20341302.v1 fatcat:aw4sonhaajhjbc6ywlilplr35y