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Proceedings of the 2015 Information Technology and Mechatronics Engineering Conference
The normal accident prediction models can't predict the occurrence of major accidents very well, so the cusp catastrophe model of major accidents is set up on the base of ideas of black swan and catastrophe theory. In the model, the main factors of major accidents are regarded as the controls parameters and the functional status of the system as the state parameter. The model has filled up the blank field of studying emergency in the black area. It is well explained by the model that thedoi:10.2991/itoec-15.2015.42 fatcat:lstcw47inbfdhiky22z7x6atri