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Sensitivity of seasonal climate forecasts to persisted SST anomalies
2002
Climate Dynamics
Most estimates of the skill of atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) for forecasting seasonal climate anomalies have been based on simulations with actual observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) as lower boundary forcing. Similarly estimates of the climatological response characteristics of AGCMs used for seasonal-to-interannual climate prediction frequently rest on historical simulations using "perfect" SST forecasts. This paper examines the errors and biases introduced into the
doi:10.1007/s00382-002-0251-y
fatcat:a2kijgrxnnblbmcy7yg6otkesu