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Predicting the Time of the Ultimate Maximum for Brownian Motion with Drift
[chapter]
2008
Mathematical Control Theory and Finance
Given a standard Brownian motion B µ = (B µ t ) 0≤t≤1 with drift µ ∈ IR , letting S µ t = max 0≤s≤t B µ s for t ∈ [0, 1] , and denoting by θ the time at which S µ 1 is attained, we consider the optimal prediction problem where the infimum is taken over all stopping times τ of B µ . Reducing the optimal prediction problem to a parabolic free-boundary problem and making use of local time-space calculus techniques, we show that the following stopping time is optimal: is a continuous decreasing
doi:10.1007/978-3-540-69532-5_6
fatcat:qdu7ddqrxnbbdh3hw4g7ku73qq