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Artificial intelligence for elections: the case of 2019 Argentina primary and presidential election [article]

Zhenkun Zhou, Hernan A. Makse
2019 arXiv   pre-print
They provide a reliable polling method that can be applied not only to predict elections but to discover any trend in society, for instance, what people think about climate change, politics or education  ...  Macri; a result that none of the traditional pollsters in that country was able to predict, and has led to a major bond market collapse.  ...  that have agreed with an important pollster in Argentina, Poliarquia, whose polls produced a large movement in financial markets.  ... 
arXiv:1910.11227v1 fatcat:cvr2ar5ftbg55cvdsin6y732uq

One Election, Two Victories: Ghana's 2016 General Elections Revisited

Awaisu Imurana Braimah, Alhassan Salifu Bawah
2019 Social Sciences  
The Electoral Commission (EC), which supervised the general election was surprisingly mute in declaring the winner of the 2016 Presidential election in the midst of these controversies.  ...  The claims and counterclaims of victory immediately after polls closed in the December, 2016 Presidential and Parliamentary elections, brought Ghana to the brink of election violence.  ...  According to them, the silence of the EC further raised pre-election suspicion to the effect that the EC was doing everything possible to have the incumbent NDC declared winners of the 2016 general elections  ... 
doi:10.11648/ fatcat:t3kex6f3uraovjqm7ochphok3m

Elections and Rural Development [chapter]

Robin Harding
2020 Rural Democracy  
Chapter 2 presents the theoretical argument underlying the hypothesis that the introduction of competitive elections across Africa results in pro-rural development.  ...  Because a majority of Africans live in rural areas, competitive elections create incentives for governments to implement pro-rural policies to win the support of the rural majority, thereby generating  ...  In what remains of this chapter I flesh out the bones of this argument, before highlighting these implications. Why do elections in Africa lead to pro-rural policies?  ... 
doi:10.1093/oso/9780198851073.003.0002 fatcat:mj4prrvdsvcedh7ko7bv7ncoie

The Business of Electing a President

Erik Hieta
2017 European Journal of American Studies  
Jacob Pramuk, "Trump spent about half of what Clinton did on his way to the xxxviii.  ...  Fast Company,November 15, 2016, https:// Richard C.  ...  It further explores how the rhetorical function of money became so central to the popularization of politics in the last election.  ... 
doi:10.4000/ejas.12123 fatcat:t67iwmpko5ek3hw27fov7f4t5m

How Money Drives US Congressional Elections

Thomas Ferguson, Jie Chen
2016 Social Science Research Network  
Senate and House of  ...  Using a new and more comprehensive dataset built from government sources, the paper begins by showing that the relations between money and major party votes in all elections for the U.S.  ...  This was part of the same measure gutting the most important provision of what was left of the Dodd-Frank financial reform legislation.  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2817705 fatcat:oakuzhjhdrczrjcahspnzepdmq

Post-Election Artists Dossier

2016 Grey Room  
We despise the bodywork of the Leviathans stamped by robots. We no longer want a state that prevents us from living. We must urgently remember. We must sit down at the tables of other people.  ...  And there we will then remember card games and stories in the ear, threads between the fingers, and guns on chair legs, and we will necessarily remember the possibility of spending days together, shared  ...  He finishes his sandwich dreaming about what freedom might have meant in the Tower of Babel. He will never know the answer, yet he likes to think about it.  ... 
doi:10.1162/grey_a_00209 fatcat:3ulqh6qi4bbuvpwuj473y3d73y

The Price of Political Uncertainty: Evidence from the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election and the U.S. Stock Markets [article]

Jamal Bouoiyour
2017 arXiv   pre-print
There is bountiful evidence that political uncertainty stemming from presidential elections or doubt about the direction of future policy make financial markets significantly volatile, especially in proximity  ...  This paper explores, at sectoral level, the uncertain information hypothesis (UIH) as a means of explaining the reaction of markets to the arrival of unanticipated information.  ...  This study examines, at sectoral level, the US stock market behavior around the 2016 presidential election and addresses the following questions. Do markets anticipate the election outcome?  ... 
arXiv:1612.06200v2 fatcat:kai5l3tcujfc3b5zgzyysh3zpa

The Aloof Election Manifesto

Tapio Nykänen
2016 Nordic Journal of Migration Research  
In this article, I examine the ideology of the radical right in Finland by analysing the Aloof Election Manifesto, an election platform published by radical wing of the Finns Party for national parliament  ...  The rise of the populist radical political right is one of the significant phenomena in recent European party politics.  ...  In what follows, I will analyse the text in more detail and determine what kind of political move it actually was.  ... 
doi:10.1515/njmr-2016-0012 fatcat:a3hygtmmivbanigesow66zsge4

Election Forecasts With Twitter

Andranik Tumasjan, Timm O. Sprenger, Philipp G. Sandner, Isabell M. Welpe
2010 Social science computer review  
In the context of the 2009 German federal election, we conducted a sentiment analysis of over 100,000 messages containing a reference to either a political party or a politician.  ...  Our results show that Twitter is used extensively for political deliberation and that the mere number of party mentions accurately reflects the election result.  ...  Prediction markets are similar to financial markets and allow trading in virtual securities tied to the outcome of a particular event (e.g., a candidate winning the election).  ... 
doi:10.1177/0894439310386557 fatcat:cwvwhqtexrciznyt2ixrivtnpy

Company Stock Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes and Trade

Alexander F. Wagner, Richard J. Zeckhauser, Alexandre Ziegler
2017 Social Science Research Network  
The election of Donald J. Trump as the 45th President of the United States of America on 11/8/2016 came as a surprise. Markets responded swiftly and decisively.  ...  This note investigates both the initial stock market reaction to the election, and the longer-term reaction through the end of 2016.  ...  the financial markets".  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2913148 fatcat:35vuuluidfhbdc7hisuw5nrozi

Why did Donald Trump really get elected?

John L. Campbell
2018 Public Governance  
Objectives: Many explanations have been offered of Donald Trump's rise to the presidency of the United States. Most focus on the candidates and events in or around their campaigns.  ...  Implications/Recommendations: To understand Trump's rise to power we need to understand the changes in American political and economic life that sowed the seeds for his election.  ...  Democrats in 13 of the 16 presidential elections prior to 2016 (Bartels, 2016, p. 76) .  ... 
doi:10.15678/zp.2018.46.4.01 fatcat:4k43rzktrjb7pe6ns4nid56emy

Meet the candidates: Vote in the election this spring

Christine Lind Hage, Lisa Janicke Hinchliffe, James G. "Jim" Neal
2016 College & research libraries news  
Vote in the election this spring T he ACRL Board of Directors posed the following questions to the candidates (Hinchliffe and Neal are ACRL members) for ALA president, and C&RL News is pleased to publish  ...  Each candidate was given 1,200 words in which he or she could respond to six questions and contribute an optional opening statement; the responses are identified under each question.  ...  Neal: Membership is at the core of the vitality and success, and the financial health of ALA and ACRL.  ... 
doi:10.5860/crln.77.3.9465 fatcat:kmu3xq7kfbcglmmomkhgmu4foy

IEEE Computer Society Election

2020 Computer  
What we need to do is to use these ingredients more incisively by: launching new initiatives (such as standardization projects, special technical communities) in the fields of AI, robotics, edge to cloud  ...  and what they want and expect the IEEE CS to provide them.  ...  Since 2015, he has been the Convener of ISO/IEC/JTC1 SC7/WG20 to standardize bodies of knowledge and professional certifications. Since 2019, he has been Steering Committee Member of APSEC.  ... 
doi:10.1109/mc.2020.3003713 fatcat:6m5v2dzuf5fy5pmhjzfxqwhtoi

Documenting the Inevitable: Voting behaviour at the 2013 Australian election [chapter]

Clive Bean, Ian McAllister
2015 Abbott's Gambit: The 2013 Australian Federal Election  
Acknowledgements For their assistance in providing data or clarifying their practices, I am grateful to Chris Pyra and Rebecca Tilly of AMR, Peter Lewis  ...  I think it's what they built a lot of their success during the Howard era on and I think they're hoping that they will equally build their success in this era on that.  ...  The 2016 election will provide further evidence about whether these prevailing patterns remain dominant.  ... 
doi:10.22459/ag.01.2015.24 fatcat:ljqjf4j5tbg3hktliq3zhw35pe

Who's There? Election Observer Identity and the Local Credibility of Elections

Sarah Sunn Bush, Lauren Prather
2018 International Organization  
We argue that the activities of election observers can enhance elections' local credibility, but only when locals perceive observers as being both capable of detecting fraud and unbiased in that pursuit  ...  AbstractPrior research has sought to understand the rise of election observers and their consequences for outcomes such as fraud, protest, and violence.  ...  The first question asked, "Do you trust the results of the recent election?" The second question asked, "Do you think the results of the election reflected the will of the people?"  ... 
doi:10.1017/s0020818318000140 fatcat:llthntii7rgdzemfazqg75wf6e
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