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The Mythology of Moore's Law: Why Such a Widely Misunderstood 'Law' Is So Captivating to So Many

Tom R. Halfhill
2006 IEEE Solid-State Circuits Society Newsletter  
Fear mongering isn't wholly to blame for this rising dread of chipocalypse. Indeed, the first reason for anticipating the end of Moore's law is the least hyperventilated: the law can't last forever.  ...  The Evolution of Moore's Law Since 1965, Moore's law has been revised twice in its most common form-once by its author, and again by others who keep struggling to make it fit the data.  ...  He has been covering the computer industry since 1982 and has worked for BYTE Magazine and several other publications.  ... 
doi:10.1109/n-ssc.2006.4785856 fatcat:5hfws3qrb5c6hg3tlb7m4u6n7m

Spending Moore's dividend

James Larus
2009 Communications of the ACM  
The advent of Multicore processors marks an end to sequential performance improvement and a radical shift to parallel programming.  ...  Thanks in large measure to the improvement in semiconductors predicted by Moore's Law, CPU performance has increased 40-50% per year over the past three decades.  ...  Acknowledgements Many thanks to Al Aho, David Callahan, Mark Hill, and Scott Wadsworth for helpful comments on earlier drafts of this paper and to Nachi Nagappan for assistance with the internal Microsoft  ... 
doi:10.1145/1506409.1506425 fatcat:itmumakj3jh5vnsxhncsg2h3lq

Combining Deep Learning Accelerators and Graphics Processing Unit for Efficient Computing

M.O Agbaje, Daniel O, O Mosinmiloluwa
2020 Zenodo  
In this article, we conducted a comparative study on the two processors by highlighting their selling points and lapses and made a case for the two processors to work together in a system, where one processor  ...  Hardware used in implementing artificial neural networks is vital as it has a major role to play in the speed and efficiency of the whole system.  ...  REFERENCES combined GPUs are affected by Moore's law GPUs are designed with Von Neumann architecture which means it fetches instruction and data from memory and executes in a never ending cycle 1.  ... 
doi:10.5281/zenodo.4030329 fatcat:stwiww2ugzbaha3hf62pqwkjp4

How photonic networking can help data centres

Ivan Glesk, Adrianus Buis, Alan Davidson
2014 2014 16th International Conference on Transparent Optical Networks (ICTON)  
the quality of data handling in terms of reduced latency, increased scalability and improved channel speed for users.  ...  In light of rapidly increasing demand for ultra-high speed data transmission, data centres are under pressure to provide ever increasing data transmission through their networks and at the same time improve  ...  However, despite the continuation of Moore's law, Dennard scaling came to an end in 2005 with the development of 90nm lithography.  ... 
doi:10.1109/icton.2014.6876412 fatcat:kcxqg2lb3nba7odvthgq7622lu

The limits of semiconductor technology and oncoming challenges in computer micro architectures and architectures

Mile Stojcev, Teufik Tokic, Ivan Milentijevic
2004 Facta universitatis - series Electronics and Energetics  
In the last three decades the world of computers and especially that of microprocessors has been advanced at exponential rates in both productivity and performance.  ...  Together, these performances and functionality improvements have resulted in a history of new technology generations every two to three years, commonly referred to as "Moore Law".  ...  Moore's Laws: Evolution of semiconductor VLSI IC technology Moore's Law I The pace of IC technology over the past forty years has been well characterized by Moore's Law.  ... 
doi:10.2298/fuee0403285s fatcat:gaxelp2aebbnvinhxssaydxhvy

Minting Money With Megawatts [Point of View]

Sveinn Valfells, Jon Helgi Egilsson
2016 Proceedings of the IEEE  
While Moore's Law remains valid, new generations of processors will from time to time open a window of entry into the mining marketplace.  ...  in 2015 and a market cap of $45 billion at the end of last year.  ... 
doi:10.1109/jproc.2016.2594558 fatcat:vlybgfo67zch7nh4323ftvmo24

The chips are down for Moore's law

M. Mitchell Waldrop
2016 Nature  
Everyone agrees that the twilight of Moore's law will not mean the end of progress. "Think about what happened to airplanes, " says Reed.  ...  Keeping abreast of Moore's law is fairly far down on the list -if only because mobile applications and data have largely migrated to the worldwide network of server farms known as the cloud.  ... 
doi:10.1038/530144a pmid:26863965 fatcat:gzpptrtp3zadrmhii6soppgl2i

New challenge for bionics--brain-inspired computing

Shan Yu
2016 Zoological Research  
Reducing the dimensionality of data with neural networks. Science, 313(5786): 504-507. Janak PH, Tye KM. 2015. From circuits to behaviour in the amygdala. Nature, 517(7534): 284-292.  ...  The human brainnetome atlas: a new brain atlas based on connectional architecture. Cerebral Cortex, 26(8): 3508-3526. Hinton GE, Salakhutdinov RR. 2006.  ...  In fact, this is an important reason why it is believed that the trend described by Moore's law will come to an end, and probably soon. In contrast, the brain is extremely energy-efficient.  ... 
doi:10.13918/j.issn.2095-8137.2016.5.261 pmid:27686783 pmcid:PMC5071337 fatcat:ohkgoeu6z5d7pmmqo5qnbkbnr4

Study on the Development of the Chip Information Industry Based on Moore's Law

Guowang Zeng, Shihong Zeng
2017 Journal of Computer and Communications  
Chips are the carriers of ICs (integrated circuits).  ...  As a result of design, manufacturing, and packaging and testing processes, chips are typically wholly independent entities intended for immediate use.  ...  Humanities and social science excellent results breeding project in Beijing University of technology.  ... 
doi:10.4236/jcc.2017.514004 fatcat:hwx3vkpcffddtajqy6g6vy67e4

Multicore processors: Status quo and future directions

Mohamed Zahran
2014 2014 10th International Computer Engineering Conference (ICENCO)  
Words like multicore, manycore, Moore's law ending, have been around for more than a decade. How do these words describe the current status quo of computer architecture?  ...  In this paper, we will present the status quo of the current multicore/manycore processors, and the expected future directions in light of several advances both in process technology and in system software  ...  To achieve this higher performance, computer architects need to make use of the increasing number of transistors given to us by Moore's law [1] .  ... 
doi:10.1109/icenco.2014.7050422 fatcat:ttswjsgkgbdchgyvqtu76myube

Exponential laws of computing growth

Peter J. Denning, Ted G. Lewis
2016 Communications of the ACM  
Acknowledgments We are grateful to Douglas Fouts and Ted Huffmire, both of the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, for conversations and insights as we worked on this article.  ...  of the current Moore's Law with CMOS technology: Performance demand of the processor.  ...  is why DARPA has invested in overcoming technology bottlenecks in post-Moore's-Law technologies. 5 If and when Moore's Law ends, that end's impact on the economy will be profound.  ... 
doi:10.1145/2976758 fatcat:b25jfz6mcvh33fwgi5qy5456ca

Moore's law: past, present and future

R.R. Schaller
1997 IEEE spectrum  
Acknowledgment Development of this article benefitted from support provided by the Center for Innovation Management Studies at Lehigh University, Bethlehem, Pa.  ...  drain every possible ounce of fat from processor cores, squeeze clock cycles, and cram components into smaller and smaller dies " (Alan loch on the Internet, 1996) * "The End of Moore's Law Thank God1  ...  The end of Moore's Law will mean the end to certain kinds of daydreaming about amazing possibilities for the Next Big Thing, but it will also be the end of a lot of stress, grief, and unwanted work" (  ... 
doi:10.1109/6.591665 fatcat:ejumhwak4bhwjm6dzpsmzgjoc4

Information Technology: Market Success To Succession

C.S. Wright, I. Dawood
2011 Review of Business Information Systems (RBIS)  
the movers and shakers of the next micro-age.  ...  This study separates the first 50 years of The Information Age into the Hardware and the Software Micro-ages.  ...  Specifically, if the semilog (10) of the rise in calculation power in Figure 1 was linear, it would validate Moore's Law; a concave (to the Xaxis) curvilinear curve would indicate that Moore's Law  ... 
doi:10.19030/rbis.v13i4.4308 fatcat:omvsyqacavgdpamjd7nb4mvtfi

Advancing Computing's Foundation of US Industry Society [article]

Thomas M. Conte, Ian T. Foster, William Gropp, Mark D. Hill
2021 arXiv   pre-print
However, unlike in the 20th Century and early 2000s, tomorrow's performance aspirations must be achieved without continued semiconductor scaling formerly provided by Moore's Law and Dennard Scaling.  ...  This whitepaper argues for a multipronged effort to develop new computing approaches beyond Moore's Law to advance the foundation that computing provides to US industry, education, medicine, science, and  ...  This white paper is part of a series of papers compiled every four years by the CCC  ... 
arXiv:2101.01284v1 fatcat:xn2i57icyvfv5cna7hl4qap2pu

The future of microprocessors

Shekhar Borkar, Andrew A. Chien
2011 Communications of the ACM  
Acknowledgments I thank fellow Intel employees Richard Wirt and Wen-Hann Wang for assistance in gathering and formulating prediction data.  ...  At Intel, we've augmented Moore's law (the number of transistors on a processor doubles approximately every 18 months) with Moore's law 2.  ...  Law 2 says that as the sophistication of chips increases, the cost of fabrication rises exponentially (see Figures 1 and 2) .  ... 
doi:10.1145/1941487.1941507 fatcat:adivl24pzra7bilnaqm65bxnky
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