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Supply chain disruption propagation: a systemic risk and normal accident theory perspective

Kevin P. Scheibe, Jennifer Blackhurst
2017 International Journal of Production Research  
, J., Supply chain disruption propagation: a systemic risk and normal accident theory perspective.  ...  Keywords supply chain risk management, disruption management, supply chain disruption propagation, systemic risk, case study Disciplines Business Administration, Management, and Operations | Management  ...  Therefore, in this paper we view supply chains disruptions through a systemic risk lens. Normal Accident Theory We supplement systemic risk theory with normal accident theory (NAT).  ... 
doi:10.1080/00207543.2017.1355123 fatcat:huvijstiera5rbxbv6qj5dnv6a

Optimizing Supply Chain Configuration Considering Supply Disruption

Ruiqing XIA, Tang LIU, Hiroaki MATSUKAWA
2014 Innovation and Supply Chain Management  
When the production plan and the supply chain coordination scheme are designed in a static manner, as is most often the case, both will have to be adjusted under a disruption scenario.  ...  The purpose of this paper is to investigate a supplier-retailer supply chain that experiences disruptions in supplier during the planning horizon.  ...  Supply Chain Disruption Risk We assume that some suppliers may have the probability to disrupt.  ... 
doi:10.14327/iscm.8.121 fatcat:jexxun6xlfd6npseqcwtmhcceq

OR/MS models for supply chain disruptions: a review

Lawrence V. Snyder, Zümbül Atan, Peng Peng, Ying Rong, Amanda J. Schmitt, Burcu Sinsoysal
2015 IIE Transactions  
We review the OR/MS literature on supply chain disruptions in order to take stock of the research to date and to provide an overview of the research questions that have been addressed.  ...  We first place disruptions in the context of other forms of supply uncertainty and discuss common modeling approaches.  ...  Supply Chain Risk Management. Risk management is a broad topic that encompasses not only disruptions but also other forms of supply chain risk, including financial and operational risks.  ... 
doi:10.1080/0740817x.2015.1067735 fatcat:dszsx7wu2ja4dn2ghmzghphgie

OR/MS Models for Supply Chain Disruptions: A Review

Lawrence V. Snyder, Zumbul Atan, Peng Peng, Ying Rong, Amanda J. Schmitt, Burcu Sinsoysal
2010 Social Science Research Network  
We review the OR/MS literature on supply chain disruptions in order to take stock of the research to date and to provide an overview of the research questions that have been addressed.  ...  We first place disruptions in the context of other forms of supply uncertainty and discuss common modeling approaches.  ...  Supply Chain Risk Management. Risk management is a broad topic that encompasses not only disruptions but also other forms of supply chain risk, including financial and operational risks.  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.1689882 fatcat:qz5u2bfgpffnxihvn22bbbidpq

A stochastic program to evaluate disruption mitigation investments in the supply chain

André Snoeck, Maximiliano Udenio, Jan C. Fransoo
2019 European Journal of Operational Research  
In real life and complex systems as supply chains, the set of scenarios is possibly infinite.  ...  The accidents and subsequent outages at the Shell Moerdijk plant are a recent example of supply chain disruptions in the chemical industry (Gonzalez, 2015) .  ...  chain is affected by a disruption, i.e. duration of disruption and recovery T E Set of periods that the disruption is still present T recovery Set of periods after the disruption to get back to BAU T  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2018.10.005 fatcat:wnkk3qtccjdkldhcc5u2byli3i

An analysis of supply chain decisions with asymmetrical retailers : effects of disruptions and static service cost on coordination mechanism

Kebing Chen, Lei Yang, Yanxia Liu
2012 Reserche operationelle  
The risk of demand or production cost disruption is one of the challenging problems in the supply chain management.  ...  We find that a nonlinear Grove wholesale price scheme can fully coordinate such a supply chain even when both market demand and production cost are disrupted.  ...  The authors thank the anonymous referees and an editor for their numerous constructive comments and encouragement in developing the paper.  ... 
doi:10.1051/ro/2012013 fatcat:sich7tun45cpbn5l4oeowrr6qq

Stability Analysis and Control Strategy for the Chained Propagation of Delay or Disruption Risk in a Port-Hinterland Service Network

Haibo Kuang, Pengfei Zhang, Bing Han, Peng Ouyang, Bekir Sahin
2021 Mathematical Problems in Engineering  
To study how such risks are generated, propagated, and effectively controlled in the port-hinterland service network, this paper builds a model for the chained propagation of network risks that is consistent  ...  In a port-hinterland service network (PHSN), the occurrence of delays or disruption risks in the ports could impose serious impacts on carriers, nodes in hinterlands, or even the entire port-hinterland  ...  supply chain network risk propagation.  ... 
doi:10.1155/2021/8859298 fatcat:zjv4qfmorngw3asql7jumn5pb4

Multicriteria decision support for business continuity planning in the event of critical infrastructure disruptions

Mirjam Merz, Michael Hiete, Valentin Bertsch
2009 International Journal of Critical Infrastructures  
Normal Accident Theory) in complex and tightly coupled networks accidents become quasi inevitable (Perrow, 1999) .  ...  Figure1 Supply Chain Risks in Global Supply Chains Modern production systems are organised as complex and highly interconnected supply networks.  ... 
doi:10.1504/ijcis.2009.022854 fatcat:tho4vct2fff7hgcqxothvcqrwu

Operations Risk Management: Overview of Paul Kleindorfer's Contributions

Morris A. Cohen, Howard Kunreuther
2009 Production and operations management  
This work on supply chain risk, and its successors, is reviewed here in light of its growing importance in managing the unbundled and global supply chains characteristic of the new economy.  ...  Continuing in the area of supply chain risks, the paper reviews Kleindorfer's contributions to the development of an integrated framework for contracting and risk hedging for supply management.  ...  Health, Safety and Environmental Regulation Kleindorfer has also focused on issues of environmental regulation as well as risk management strategies for health and safety including the use of international  ... 
doi:10.1111/j.1937-5956.2007.tb00278.x fatcat:h5nykclcdbcdvbtijoukbx4puy

Fragmentation of production amplifies systemic risks from extreme events in supply-chain networks

Célian Colon, Åke Brännström, Elena Rovenskaya, Ulf Dieckmann, Dejan Dragan
2020 PLoS ONE  
Such interdependencies lead to systemic risks in supply chain networks. We introduce a stylized model of complex supply-chain networks in which firms adjust their inventory to maximize profit.  ...  The more fragmented a supply chain is, the less beneficial it is for individual firms to maintain inventories, resulting in higher systemic risks.  ...  Acknowledgments This study was enabled by the organizational support of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), through the Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP).  ... 
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0244196 pmid:33370350 fatcat:ne2ahzt5f5cbraafqidyl56x34

Latin hypercube sampling and the propagation of uncertainty in analyses of complex systems

J.C. Helton, F.J. Davis
2003 Reliability Engineering & System Safety  
Sobol' variance decomposition, and fast probability integration.  ...  (vi) analyses involving stochastic (i.e., aleatory) and subjective (i.e., epistemic) uncertainty.  ...  "Variance Reduction Algorithms for Parallel Replicated Simulation of Uniformized Markov Chains," Discrete Event Dynamic Systems: Theory and Applications. Vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 159-180. , pp. 335-360.  ... 
doi:10.1016/s0951-8320(03)00058-9 fatcat:qozdsedxoraifbgsyckw4aajvi

Resilience-Enhancing Solution to Mitigate Risk for Sustainable Supply Chain–An Empirical Study of Elevator Manufacturing

Chih-Hung Hsu, Ru-Yue Yu, An-Yuan Chang, Wen-Hong Chung, Wan-Ling Liu
2021 Processes  
As the complexity of supply chains increases, the enhancement of resilience for mitigating sustainable disruption risks in supply chains is an important issue.  ...  However, research on developing two houses of quality to connect sustainable supply chain disruption risks, resilience capacities, and resilience-enhancing features in elevator manufacturing supply chains  ...  Ivanov (2018) analyzed disruption propagation in the supply chain with consideration of sustainability factors in order to design a resilient supply chain structure [118] .  ... 
doi:10.3390/pr9040596 fatcat:yyvbgcwgd5dkxcgucw5wbbjlum

The VESP Model

Arij Lahmar, Habib Chabchoub, François Galasso, Jacques Lamothe
2018 International Journal of Risk and Contingency Management  
The great complexity of a global supply chain and of its environment, coupled with managerial trends, makes such a chain more vulnerable to disruptive events.  ...  During the last decade, researchers and practitioners became more interested in the domain of vulnerability analysis. It is considered as a key element in defining and managing supply chain risks.  ...  Referring Normal Accident Theory (Skilton et al., 2009) , the increase of the number of links and nodes within a system will result in multiple relationships and interactions which will create a more  ... 
doi:10.4018/ijrcm.2018040103 fatcat:pe3j4mzzurdutdhpbccuui2hee

Leading scholars in Production Research for the 55th volume anniversary of IJPR

Alexandre Dolgui
2018 International Journal of Production Research  
Scheibe and Jennifer Blackhurst "Supply chain disruption propagation: A systemic risk and normal accident theory perspective" propose a qualitative case study approach to understand better supply chain  ...  The article "Ripple effect in the supply chain: An analysis and recent literature" by Alexandre Dolgui, Dmitry Ivanov, and Boris Sokolov, presents the impacts of disruption propagations on supply chain  ... 
doi:10.1080/00207543.2018.1429119 fatcat:ydgmlicsk5gaxhcac3ok7pk57m

Computational simulation and risk analysis: An introduction of state of the art research

Desheng Dash Wu, David L. Olson
2013 Mathematical and computer modelling  
Risks are studied from perspectives of different disciplines, with a discussion of how various methods and tools are used to optimize risk management.  ...  In recent years, risk management and analysis has attracted a great deal of attention from both researchers and practitioners.  ...  Risk management Different perspectives and tools Global competition, technological change, and continual search for competitive advantage have motivated risk management in supply chains [47] .  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.mcm.2013.07.004 fatcat:tbcvqky3endnda7lj6maqkkadq
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