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Large-scale Uncertainty Estimation and Its Application in Revenue Forecast of SMEs [article]

Zebang Zhang, Kui Zhao, Kai Huang, Quanhui Jia, Yanming Fang, Quan Yu
2020 arXiv   pre-print
If the uncertainty of an enterprise's revenue forecasting can be estimated, a more proper credit limit can be granted.  ...  We demonstrate that our method can distinguish between samples that are accurate and inaccurate on revenue forecasting of SMEs.  ...  In financial tasks, it is crucial to estimate the uncertainty in forecast. The real revenue of SMEs is heteroscedastic distribution.  ... 
arXiv:2005.00718v1 fatcat:josy24qxxfbyrkft2icilygnpy

{'en_US': 'Business Administration and Business Economics'}

Collective Authors
2021 Acta Universitatis Danubius: Oeconomica  
Combined forecasting was found to produce the least variance for one year ahead forecast of company tax revenue.  ...  The results reveal that GDP, Share of Agriculture in GDP and Tax Rate have a positive and statistically significant relationship with company tax revenue while inflation and openness showed a negative  ...  The small scale firms have 100-150 million naira worth of assets, the medium scale has from 151-500 million naira worth of assets and the large scale have from 501 million naira worth of assets and above  ... 
doaj:0ca727fcadbd4711ba1701e1b53d7c56 fatcat:tf5wyx4gzfe5lpqnf2x6pdphh4

Investing in new materials: a tool for technology managers

Elicia Maine, David Probert, Mike Ashby
2005 Technovation  
It consists of three interwoven strands: viability analysis, market assessment and value capture.  ...  Small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs), often started by the inventor of a new material, have had particular difficulty in commercialising new materials-either due to the upfront and risky expense involved  ...  Acknowledgements We wish to acknowledge the support of the Körber Foundation, of the Cambridge Canadian Trust, of the UK EPSRC through the support of the Engineering Design Centre at Cambridge, and of  ... 
doi:10.1016/s0166-4972(03)00070-1 fatcat:k2h2i5zsrzhwbmenehkxuxmicu

Estimating Fungibility Between Skills by Combining Skill Similarities Obtained from Multiple Data Sources

Shrihari Vasudevan, Moninder Singh, Joydeep Mondal, Michael Peran, Benjamin Zweig, Brian Johnston, Rachel Rosenfeld
2018 Data Science and Engineering  
in the forecast.  ...  An estimate of skill adjacency or fungibility or substitutability is critical for effective capacity planning, analytics and optimization in the face of changing skill requirements of an organization.  ...  distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were  ... 
doi:10.1007/s41019-018-0075-3 fatcat:zy47y37lyrffborvoinvqxz4wy

A comparative analysis of the UK and Italian small businesses using Generalised Extreme Value models [article]

Galina Andreeva, Raffaella Calabrese, Silvia Angela Osmetti
2014 arXiv   pre-print
Financial measures of profitability, leverage, coverage, liquidity, scale and non-financial information are explored, some commonalities and differences are highlighted.  ...  SME performance.  ...  with lower MSE and MAE should forecast defaults and non-defaults more accurately. For a bank it is much more costly to classify an SME as a non-defaulter when it is a defaulter than the opposite.  ... 
arXiv:1412.5351v1 fatcat:dkbsqb5y3ndv5l2m5zkzc4dlca

Financial Management Practices and Performance of Small and Medium Scale Poultry Industry in Ogun State, Nigeria

Adegbie Festus Folajinmi, Alawode Olufemi Peter
2020 Journal of Finance and Accounting  
The efficiency or otherwise of applicable financial management practices combined with the peculiarity and uncertainty of the business environment can make or mar the success of such SMEs operating in  ...  cannot in any way be overlooked by any developing country particularly one that is struggling to diversify from petrol-carbon revenue and generate employment.  ...  For instance, a small business in the developed economies of countries like Japan, Germany and United States of America (USA), may be a medium or large-scaled business in a developing economy like Nigeria  ... 
doi:10.11648/j.jfa.20200802.15 fatcat:mskzly7aoff2bm7xscqfqm7jki

Do Regulatory Changes Seriously Affect the Medical Devices Industry? Evidence From the Czech Republic

Petra Maresova, Lukas Rezny, Lukas Peter, Ladislav Hajek, Frank Lefley
2021 Frontiers in Public Health  
As many MD developers are SMEs, will the new regulatory regime result in some of those companies going out of business and therefore impede future innovation?  ...  Methods: The paper focuses on a single case study, with the situation and outcomes discussed in the context of the financial results of a further 50 medical device manufacturers marketing in the Czech  ...  Larger companies focus on the large-scale production of class I MD's where it is harder to compete by small companies due to the economies of scale.  ... 
doi:10.3389/fpubh.2021.666453 pmid:33996732 pmcid:PMC8113379 fatcat:ului3aqkwfed5irg6ept3raf5y

Insights on Supply chain needs and issues in Indian SMEs

Ganesh Narkhede, Neela Rajhans
2019 Industrial Engineering Journal  
The purpose of this paper is to uncover the SCM issues of small and medium size enterprises and to provide insights on how SCM strategies will help in growth of SMEs.  ...  Large enterprises have already tested rippling effects of SCM, but small and medium size enterprises (SMEs) have underestimate the benefits of SCM due to their insufficient knowledge about SCM.  ...  SMEs differ from large scale enterprises in terms of structure, strategy and decision making process [12] . Challenges of SMEs. In India there are approximately 1.564 million registered MSMEs.  ... 
doi:10.26488/iej.12.2.1174 fatcat:2ahhzaepgbcmlirc5kh4wd557m

A comparative analysis of the UK and Italian small businesses using Generalised Extreme Value models

Galina Andreeva, Raffaella Calabrese, Silvia Angela Osmetti
2016 European Journal of Operational Research  
Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) regression is applied in contrast to the logistic regression in order to produce more conservative estimates of default probability.  ...  Financial measures of profitability, leverage, coverage, liquidity, scale and non-financial information are explored, some commonalities and differences are highlighted.  ...  Acknowledgements The Authors gratefully acknowledge the help of Armando Benincasa and Carlotta Prete at Bureau Van Dijk in providing the data.  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2015.07.062 fatcat:7fbjrhiec5e3thgl56kzfx4xbm

Saudi Arabia: Selected Issues

International Monetary Fund
2012 IMF Staff Country Reports  
The MFPU also provides revenue projections linked to its macroeconomic forecast, while the non-oil revenue department delivers revenue estimates for the non-oil revenue measures in collaboration with revenue  ...  given the large share of oil revenues in total budget revenues.  ...  of financial activity increases with income) and to supply effects (larger, richer economies can achieve economies of scale and benefit from more competition and better infrastructure).  ... 
doi:10.5089/9781475510621.002 fatcat:pm6uce35ebdphcgewgwvg5pb6i

Industry characteristics, stages of E-commerce communications, and entrepreneurs and SMEs revenue growth

George Saridakis, Yanqing Lai, Anne-Marie Mohammed, Jared M. Hansen
2018 Technological forecasting & social change  
growth for a large representative sample of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and other entrepreneurs who operate in the United Kingdom.  ...  This paper empirically examines the role of industry characteristics portrayed by information intensity of value chain or product in the relationship between the stages of E-commerce development and revenue  ...  It is unknown whether the adoption of the different stages of Ecommerce development has resulted in improvements in revenues or if it has just added extra costs and complexities to the SMEs of the entrepreneurs  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2017.10.017 fatcat:xgudd3jal5bxroyrplvfetl4tm

The Impact of Collaborative Innovation between Established Industry and Academic Technology Spin-offs

Stephan Hess, Simon Suhrbeer, Roland Y. Siegwart
2013 Business and Management Research  
More specifically, parameters that can increase the chances of a successful alliance are explored in depth.  ...  Consequently, cooperation between an established industry and academic spin-offs are of potential interest.  ...  R&D activity More than 50% of younger SMEs are active in R&D. 87% of large corporations are active in R&D and invest more into R&D than SMEs.  ... 
doi:10.5430/bmr.v2n3p1 fatcat:nxa2ikbjlrgixhrs33wopbxxti

Management Accounting Information in Vietnamese Small and Medium Sized Enterprises

Thi Tu Oanh Le, Thi Ngoc Bui, Manh Dung Tran
2017 Accounting and Finance Research  
SMEs go bankruptcy in the context of Vietnam.  ...  part to play with respect to planning, decision-making, monitoring and controlling of the activities of SMEs in Vietnam.  ...  The research questions were posed as (i) what contents of management accounting information can be used by manager in SMEs in Vietnam?  ... 
doi:10.5430/afr.v7n1p130 fatcat:hydvhlamfncqnlh63a5yn36p6e

Artificial Intelligence Based Commercial Risk Management Framework for SMEs

Gerda Žigienė, Egidijus Rybakovas, Robertas Alzbutas
2019 Sustainability  
Risk management in commercial processes is among the most important procedures affecting the competitiveness of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), their innovativeness and potential contribution  ...  Main building blocks of the framework in terms of commercial risk categories, data sources and workflow phases are presented in the article.  ...  Acknowledgments: The authors are grateful to the reviewers for providing valuable comments and suggestions. Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.  ... 
doi:10.3390/su11164501 fatcat:7rzygfjuxne2xgkofb5vdjbrq4

The Impact of the Institutional Environment on the Use of Licensed Technology

A W Aidoo
2020 Southeast Europe Journal of Soft Computing  
By focusing on the scope of research on the two regions and SMEs, the sampled observations are scaled down from 136,887 to 33,977 firms in 53 countries.  ...  This study is focused on the impact of factors of institutional environment on SMEs' acquisition and use of licensed technology from abroad.  ...  SMEs in other geographical and economic regions like East Asia and Organization of Eastern Caribbean States respectively, should be considered in future research.  ... 
doi:10.21533/scjournal.v9i1.188 fatcat:g5wrz24su5gpdev5kaplcgfxwu
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