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Dynamic analysis of bet-hedging strategies as a protection mechanism against environmental fluctuations

Masaki Ogura, Masashi Wakaiki, Victor M. Preciado
<span title="">2016</span> <i title="IEEE"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/wjd7b2sxyfahnaei4xvi46vwsu" style="color: black;">2016 IEEE 55th Conference on Decision and Control (CDC)</a> </i> &nbsp;
In this paper, we propose a theoretical framework, based on Markov jump linear systems, to model and evaluate the performance of bet-hedging strategies in the presence of stochastic fluctuations.  ...  In order to increase their robustness against environmental fluctuations, many biological populations have developed bet-hedging mechanisms in which the population 'bets' against the presence of prolonged  ...  Proof: It is easy to see that Ξ defined in the theorem gives the infinitesimal generator of the Markov process θ .  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1109/cdc.2016.7798903">doi:10.1109/cdc.2016.7798903</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://dblp.org/rec/conf/cdc/OguraWP16.html">dblp:conf/cdc/OguraWP16</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/takbqwov4zdn5otzwez6adwfeq">fatcat:takbqwov4zdn5otzwez6adwfeq</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200824145724/https://arxiv.org/pdf/1603.04682v1.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download [not primary version]" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <span style="color: #f43e3e;">&#10033;</span> <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/d4/d4/d4d4ea66bcba0ad98e017812fa72b16eb3388723.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1109/cdc.2016.7798903"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="external alternate icon"></i> ieee.com </button> </a>

The More You Know, the More You Can Grow: An Information Theoretic Approach to Growth in the Information Age

Martin Hilbert
<span title="">2016</span> <i title="Elsevier BV"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/tol7woxlqjeg5bmzadeg6qrg3e" style="color: black;">Social Science Research Network</a> </i> &nbsp;
This is achieved by endogenously adjusting the population structure to the exogenous environmental pattern (through bet-hedging/portfolio management).  ...  In our information age, information alone has become a driver of social growth. Information is the fuel of "big data" companies, and the decision-making compass of policy makers.  ...  David Wolpert, Olivier Rivoire, Sarah Marzen, Ryan James, Gerhard Kramer, Poong Oh, Peter Monge, and other members of the faculty of the Santa Fe Institute for direct or indirect discussions resulting in  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2810019">doi:10.2139/ssrn.2810019</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/ocjma2gyg5cjplkkmoot5hpmc4">fatcat:ocjma2gyg5cjplkkmoot5hpmc4</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180728190110/https://res.mdpi.com/def502008b2181661c80951a2451b801ee4f422ae730b0f0fd3d8f0e0d16654f02489d3a49682852c0d03951bae4be56a2d76467edb5b85c6bd2091b7838c76153d2b594a0cca3cd02bafa82668cd3d193e3141a46cf3e7dcf663e9e8291650811b031a84cd7e2fc9cc85a40b77d53262793160001541e13291c1fe9a788b04efa36e8231430c99071652de3d6141eee?filename=&amp;attachment=1" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/5e/31/5e31aa1031ca6dec482cafa0e0b731a982c15196.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2810019"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="external alternate icon"></i> ssrn.com </button> </a>

The More You Know, the More You Can Grow: An Information Theoretic Approach to Growth in the Information Age

Martin Hilbert
<span title="2017-02-22">2017</span> <i title="MDPI AG"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/4d3elkqvznfzho6ki7a35bt47u" style="color: black;">Entropy</a> </i> &nbsp;
This is achieved by endogenously adjusting the population structure to the exogenous environmental pattern (through bet-hedging / portfolio management).  ...  In our information age, information alone has become a driver of social growth. Information is the fuel of 'big data' companies, and the decision-making compass of policy makers.  ...  David Wolpert, Olivier Rivoire, Sarah Marzen, Ryan James, Gerhard Kramer, Poong Oh, Peter Monge, and other members of the faculty of the Santa Fe Institute for direct or indirect discussions resulting in  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.3390/e19020082">doi:10.3390/e19020082</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/yqlgzfs4r5b7dndwy3s3hvqbme">fatcat:yqlgzfs4r5b7dndwy3s3hvqbme</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200310110928/https://escholarship.org/content/qt4bx9184h/qt4bx9184h.pdf?t=pn74pb" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/28/4e/284e970b4fd9cda9911ccae624f533b90ded3e47.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.3390/e19020082"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="unlock alternate icon" style="background-color: #fb971f;"></i> mdpi.com </button> </a>

Page 3353 of Mathematical Reviews Vol. , Issue 98E [page]

<span title="">1998</span> <i title="American Mathematical Society"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://archive.org/details/pub_mathematical-reviews" style="color: black;">Mathematical Reviews </a> </i> &nbsp;
This paper considers how far standard private infor- mation explanations (with strategic decisions to accept bets) can go in explaining phenomena attributed to uncertainty aversion.  ...  In Section | they discuss situations in finance where the BSDE point of view is efficient. Hedging for different types of markets is considered.  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://archive.org/details/sim_mathematical-reviews_1998-05_98e/page/3353" title="read fulltext microfilm" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Archive [Microfilm] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://archive.org/serve/sim_mathematical-reviews_1998-05_98e/__ia_thumb.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a>

Optimized bacteria are environmental prediction engines

Sarah E. Marzen, James P. Crutchfield
<span title="2018-07-16">2018</span> <i title="American Physical Society (APS)"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/5pgnwkvlevhybgsbuc3q7fchx4" style="color: black;">Physical review. E</a> </i> &nbsp;
We suggest new theoretical investigations into and new experiments on bacteria phenotypic bet-hedging in fluctuating complex environments.  ...  Experimentalists have observed phenotypic variability in isogenic bacteria populations.  ...  This material is based upon work supported by, or in part by, the John Templeton  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1103/physreve.98.012408">doi:10.1103/physreve.98.012408</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30110764">pmid:30110764</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/ynazyuiznnb65nmaodwsyztr4m">fatcat:ynazyuiznnb65nmaodwsyztr4m</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20190303041119/http://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/af04/e11ee31796e77b8b03462aa1e494bfd0b971.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/af/04/af04e11ee31796e77b8b03462aa1e494bfd0b971.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1103/physreve.98.012408"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="external alternate icon"></i> aps.org </button> </a>

Modeling stochastic phenotype switching and bet-hedging in bacteria: stochastic nonlinear dynamics and critical state identification

Chen Jia, Minping Qian, Yu Kang, Daquan Jiang
<span title="">2014</span> <i title="Springer Nature"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/rs7kqbk47nd3nbcl32zad56uv4" style="color: black;">Quantitative Biology</a> </i> &nbsp;
Traditional deterministic models cannot provide a correct description of stochastic phenotype switching and bet-hedging, and traditional Markov chain models at the cellular level fail to explain their  ...  This kind of phenotypic heterogeneity with stochastic phenotype switching is generally understood to be an adaptive bet-hedging strategy.  ...  Phenotypic heterogeneity and bet-hedging In the recent decade, single-cell and single-molecule experiments have made significant progresses and shown that gene expression is an inherently stochastic process  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s40484-014-0035-5">doi:10.1007/s40484-014-0035-5</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/j4exvpsbczggrppyvbixsilzie">fatcat:j4exvpsbczggrppyvbixsilzie</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180728025329/https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs40484-014-0035-5.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/a4/88/a48857150663f7b98e6b1965067809cc7bba7b35.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s40484-014-0035-5"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="external alternate icon"></i> springer.com </button> </a>

Modeling stochastic phenotype switching and bet-hedging in bacteria: stochastic nonlinear dynamics and critical state identification [article]

Chen Jia, Min-Ping Qian, Yu Kang, Da-Quan Jiang
<span title="2015-01-17">2015</span> <i > arXiv </i> &nbsp; <span class="release-stage" >pre-print</span>
Traditional deterministic models cannot provide a correct description of stochastic phenotype switching and bet-hedging, and traditional Markov chain models at the cellular level fail to explain their  ...  This kind of phenotypic heterogeneity with stochastic phenotype switching is generally understood to be an adaptive bet-hedging strategy.  ...  Some fundamental cellular processes, such as decision-making processes in cell cycle progression [72] , cell fate determination [73] [74] [75] [76] , and apoptosis [77, 78] , display multistable features  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1311.2216v2">arXiv:1311.2216v2</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/a2a4uu7d6vad5avohl4fmkh5mi">fatcat:a2a4uu7d6vad5avohl4fmkh5mi</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200830040614/https://arxiv.org/pdf/1311.2216v2.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/b1/65/b165b0a484e71dc093496b0737698217cf119af9.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1311.2216v2" title="arxiv.org access"> <button class="ui compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="file alternate outline icon"></i> arxiv.org </button> </a>

Stochasticity in the Genotype-Phenotype Map: Implications for the Robustness and Persistence of Bet-Hedging [article]

Daniel Nichol, Mark Robertson-Tessi, Peter Jeavons, Alexander RA Anderson
<span title="2016-03-04">2016</span> <i title="Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory"> biorxiv/medrxiv </i> &nbsp; <span class="release-stage" >pre-print</span>
Robustness may explain why such bet hedging strategies are common in biology, and not readily destroyed through mutation.  ...  Whereas persistence may explain the apparent paradox of bet-hedging - why does phenotypic hedging exist in environments beneficial to only one of the phenotypes, when selection necessarily acts against  ...  (C) A stochastic death-birth process is used to determine an extinction time, t ext : 1:01 used in our simulation of evolutionary loss of bet-hedging.  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1101/042424">doi:10.1101/042424</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/gqqo5cowbffizj6sfybrnkhtta">fatcat:gqqo5cowbffizj6sfybrnkhtta</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20170922005508/http://www.genetics.org/content/genetics/204/4/1523.full.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/33/87/33871aeee668aa31c94de4d4a8a901b2b5ce410d.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1101/042424"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="external alternate icon"></i> biorxiv.org </button> </a>

Drawdown-Based Stop-Outs and the 'Triple Penance' Rule

David H. Bailey, Marcos Lopez de Prado
<span title="">2012</span> <i title="Elsevier BV"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/tol7woxlqjeg5bmzadeg6qrg3e" style="color: black;">Social Science Research Network</a> </i> &nbsp;
We demonstrate that, under standard portfolio theory assumptions, the answer to the latter question is strikingly unequivocal: On average, the recovery spans three times the period involved in accumulating  ...  We also estimate that some hedge funds may be firing more than three times the number of skillful portfolio managers, compared to the number that they were willing to accept, as a result of evaluating  ...  In a very interesting study, Hayes [2006] fits a Markov chain (switching) model to hedge fund returns to estimate their downside potential under that type of serial dependence.  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2201302">doi:10.2139/ssrn.2201302</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/nezml3ulhzadfk52tgsgkztzbi">fatcat:nezml3ulhzadfk52tgsgkztzbi</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20150915211919/http://www.davidhbailey.com/dhbpapers/stop-out.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/11/75/11759f5490173f40c5d0c9392f0bdd63500b8f5d.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2201302"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="external alternate icon"></i> ssrn.com </button> </a>

Stochasticity in the Genotype-Phenotype Map: Implications for the Robustness and Persistence of Bet-Hedging

Daniel Nichol, Mark Robertson-Tessi, Peter Jeavons, Alexander R.A. Anderson
<span title="2016-10-21">2016</span> <i title="Genetics Society of America"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/j4jbzoikwjh4nhplkbx7xsr32y" style="color: black;">Genetics</a> </i> &nbsp;
Nongenetic variation in phenotypes, or bet-hedging, has been observed as a driver of drug resistance in both bacterial infections and cancers.  ...  Here, we study how bet-hedging emerges in genotype-phenotype (GP) mapping through a simple interaction model: a molecular switch.  ...  (C) A stochastic death-birth process is used to determine an extinction time, t ext : 1:01 used in our simulation of evolutionary loss of bet-hedging.  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1534/genetics.116.193474">doi:10.1534/genetics.116.193474</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27770034">pmid:27770034</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/PMC5161283/">pmcid:PMC5161283</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/h6volejdrzab5dmg626hjebryy">fatcat:h6volejdrzab5dmg626hjebryy</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20170922005508/http://www.genetics.org/content/genetics/204/4/1523.full.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/33/87/33871aeee668aa31c94de4d4a8a901b2b5ce410d.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1534/genetics.116.193474"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="external alternate icon"></i> Publisher / doi.org </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5161283" title="pubmed link"> <button class="ui compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="file alternate outline icon"></i> pubmed.gov </button> </a>

Probabilistic adaptation in changing microbial environments [article]

Yarden Katz, Michael Springer
<span title="2016-07-22">2016</span> <i title="Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory"> bioRxiv </i> &nbsp; <span class="release-stage" >pre-print</span>
In the mammalian gut, fluctuations in nutrient levels and other physiological parameters are structured by the animal host's behavior, diet, health and microbiota composition.  ...  Microbes growing in animal host environments face fluctuations that have elements of both randomness and predictability.  ...  Previously, a bet-hedging policy was shown in simulation to give increased fitness when the bethedging proportions matched the frequencies of the environment's fluctuations [25] (in that study, bet-hedging  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1101/065243">doi:10.1101/065243</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/hlymt62mzrf23immgarmsysxb4">fatcat:hlymt62mzrf23immgarmsysxb4</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20190430213250/https://www.biorxiv.org/content/biorxiv/early/2016/07/22/065243.full.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/b2/ce/b2ce90d5d1f413b6bb99a7e70dff135b56e4f62f.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1101/065243"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="external alternate icon"></i> biorxiv.org </button> </a>

Probabilistic adaptation in changing microbial environments

Yarden Katz, Michael Springer
<span title="2016-12-14">2016</span> <i title="PeerJ"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/eyfkjqp7sva5bbnwatk5zazi7q" style="color: black;">PeerJ</a> </i> &nbsp;
In the mammalian gut, fluctuations in nutrient levels and other physiological parameters are structured by the host's behavior, diet, health and microbiota composition.  ...  Microbes growing in animal host environments face fluctuations that have elements of both randomness and predictability.  ...  Previously, a bet-hedging policy was shown in simulation to give increased fitness when the bethedging proportions matched the frequencies of the environment's fluctuations [25] (in that study, bet-hedging  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.2716">doi:10.7717/peerj.2716</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27994963">pmid:27994963</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/PMC5160922/">pmcid:PMC5160922</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/xrw4gtnggvdtzdn32b6hugifoy">fatcat:xrw4gtnggvdtzdn32b6hugifoy</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180723090217/https://www.biorxiv.org/content/biorxiv/early/2016/07/22/065243.full.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/f7/e2/f7e28eff69fde8dc87071408c5775e56f98d2d06.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.2716"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="unlock alternate icon" style="background-color: #fb971f;"></i> Publisher / doi.org </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5160922" title="pubmed link"> <button class="ui compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="file alternate outline icon"></i> pubmed.gov </button> </a>

Construction of a Predictive Model for MLB Matches

Chia-Hao Chang
<span title="2021-02-16">2021</span> <i title="MDPI AG"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/7mptxqer6jcuddljypy3a752da" style="color: black;">Forecasting</a> </i> &nbsp;
In this article, we used the Markov process method and the runner advancement model to estimate the expected runs in an MLB match for the teams based on the batting lineup and the pitcher.  ...  The main purpose of this article was to define a model that could defeat the online bookmakers' odds, where the betting item considered was the first five innings of major league baseball (MLB) matches  ...  It means the process has no memory of its previous states. Such a process is called a Markov process, after the prominent Russian mathematician Andrey Markov .  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast3010007">doi:10.3390/forecast3010007</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/kzxvzo2bo5grbawa5crgeuqvra">fatcat:kzxvzo2bo5grbawa5crgeuqvra</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20210428224336/https://res.mdpi.com/d_attachment/forecasting/forecasting-03-00007/article_deploy/forecasting-03-00007.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/f9/34/f9349aa69a0dd01c39098c0095c2bf1367a1065a.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast3010007"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="unlock alternate icon" style="background-color: #fb971f;"></i> mdpi.com </button> </a>

Robust Portfolio Rules and Asset Pricing

Pascal J. Maenhout
<span title="2004-04-02">2004</span> <i title="Oxford University Press (OUP)"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/bkonsuqkanf7zek7y6zicsc44u" style="color: black;">The Review of financial studies</a> </i> &nbsp;
Parameter uncertainty or, more broadly, model uncertainty seems highly relevant in many aspects of financial decision-making.  ...  In particular, I use the framework of Anderson, Hansen and Sargent (1999) , which attributes a preference for robustness to the decision-maker.  ...  As shown by AHS, a minimum-entropy robust decision-maker solving an equation like HJB (17) , can also be viewed as employing a 'twisted' Markov process (13) describing the evolution of her relevant  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhh003">doi:10.1093/rfs/hhh003</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/2mzsbsa3mrczhln6peb3og4xzm">fatcat:2mzsbsa3mrczhln6peb3og4xzm</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20031213221048/http://www.econ.ucy.ac.cy:80/~echalias/seminars/Maenhout.pdf" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/09/11/0911a4ac30e0575e347b60c540218507ceb49933.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhh003"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="external alternate icon"></i> oup.com </button> </a>

Juvenile honest food solicitation and parental investment as a life history strategy: A kin demographic selection model

József Garay, Villő Csiszár, Tamás F. Móri, András Szilágyi, Zoltán Varga, Szabolcs Számadó, Gregorio Moreno-Rueda
<span title="2018-03-01">2018</span> <i title="Public Library of Science (PLoS)"> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/container/s3gm7274mfe6fcs7e3jterqlri" style="color: black;">PLoS ONE</a> </i> &nbsp;
Thus, honest begging can be seen as a special bet-hedging against informational uncertainty, which not just decreases the variance of fitness but also increases the arithmetic mean.  ...  We show in an asexual population that honest begging results in decreased variance of collected food between siblings, which leads to mean number of surviving offspring.  ...  does not satisfy this strict definition of bet-hedging.  ... 
<span class="external-identifiers"> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0193420">doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0193420</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29494630">pmid:29494630</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/PMC5832247/">pmcid:PMC5832247</a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://fatcat.wiki/release/kn2yvo7kvrh6xemda6c2jfbyxy">fatcat:kn2yvo7kvrh6xemda6c2jfbyxy</a> </span>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20180722213438/http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0193420&amp;type=printable" title="fulltext PDF download" data-goatcounter-click="serp-fulltext" data-goatcounter-title="serp-fulltext"> <button class="ui simple right pointing dropdown compact black labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="icon ia-icon"></i> Web Archive [PDF] <div class="menu fulltext-thumbnail"> <img src="https://blobs.fatcat.wiki/thumbnail/pdf/92/eb/92eb578d78066398ec103c9aa028f0faffa8e363.180px.jpg" alt="fulltext thumbnail" loading="lazy"> </div> </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener noreferrer" href="https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0193420"> <button class="ui left aligned compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="unlock alternate icon" style="background-color: #fb971f;"></i> plos.org </button> </a> <a target="_blank" rel="external noopener" href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5832247" title="pubmed link"> <button class="ui compact blue labeled icon button serp-button"> <i class="file alternate outline icon"></i> pubmed.gov </button> </a>
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