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Intra- and Interseasonal Autoregressive Prediction of Dengue Outbreaks Using Local Weather and Regional Climate for a Tropical Environment in Colombia

Matthew D. Eastin, Eric Delmelle, Cameron Self, Joshua Wexler, Irene Casas
2014 American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene  
Predictive models of dengue incidence rate, based on local weather and regional climate parameters, could benefit disease mitigation efforts.  ...  Time series of epidemiological and meteorological data for the urban environment of Cali, Colombia are analyzed from January of 2000 to December of 2011.  ...  Acknowledgments: We thank the Colombian Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (IDEAM) for providing supplemental daily weather observations during the study period.  ... 
doi:10.4269/ajtmh.13-0303 pmid:24957546 pmcid:PMC4155567 fatcat:od3dcygokrgl5e3aj2sxvplfou

Nonlinear and delayed impacts of climate on dengue risk in Barbados: A modelling study

Rachel Lowe, Antonio Gasparrini, Cédric J. Van Meerbeeck, Catherine A. Lippi, Roché Mahon, Adrian R. Trotman, Leslie Rollock, Avery Q. J. Hinds, Sadie J. Ryan, Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra, Madeleine Thomson
2018 PLoS Medicine  
By combining the dengue prediction model with climate indicators, which are routinely monitored and forecasted by the Regional Climate Centre (RCC) at the Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology  ...  The aim of this study is to quantify the nonlinear and delayed effects of climate indicators, such as drought and extreme rainfall, on dengue risk in Barbados from 1999 to 2016.  ...  Hilaire, and Karen Polson-Edwards for valuable expert advice during this study.  ... 
doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1002613 pmid:30016319 pmcid:PMC6049902 fatcat:exgzi4cilzan7jq53fiobhp7ta

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Health: An Overview for Climate and Health Researchers

Glenn McGregor, Kristie Ebi
2018 Atmosphere  
The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an important mode of climatic variability that exerts a discernible impact on ecosystems and society through alterations in climate patterns.  ...  and its climate impacts, discusses the use of ENSO indices in climate and health research, and outlines the present understanding of ENSO health associations.  ...  Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflicts of interest.  ... 
doi:10.3390/atmos9070282 fatcat:2y5zr42zxrdkzlbcjkchrioraa

Global Health Action Special Volume 2009: Climate change and global health: linking science with policy

2009 Global Health Action  
His insights in interpreting the results in context of emerging implications of climate change-mediated impacts on worker productivity were particularly useful for data analysis and the authors are grateful  ...  Acknowledgements We thank Communicable Diseases Division, Ministry of Health Singapore for providing dengue data and granting us permission to access data on weekly Infectious Diseases Bulletin for research  ...  Conclusions Epidemiological studies and reports in Taiwan have highlighted the impact of warmer climate on several infectious diseases, such as dengue fever and enteroviral infection (23Á25).  ... 
doi:10.3402/gha.v2i0.1966 fatcat:a7y2lilnubhwflkydm2ghgisca

Early Warning Systems A State of the Art Analysis and Future Directions

2012 Environmental Development  
The WHO constantly monitors anthrax, avian influenza, Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF), dengue haemorrhagic fever, Ebola haemorrhagic fever, Hepatitis, Influenza, Lassa fever, Marburg Haemorrhagic  ...  These systems cover a range of hazards and communicate results using a variety of methods.  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.envdev.2012.09.004 pmid:34171006 pmcid:PMC7148997 fatcat:3hwnwbdwjrdxbfs7cwmbndwbjm

Community-Based Flood Vulnerability Index for Urban Flooding: Understanding Social Vulnerabilities and Risks [chapter]

Mae Brigitt Bernadel L. Villordon, Philippe Gourbesville
2015 Advances in Hydroinformatics  
Community-Based Flood Vulnerability Index for Urban Flooding: Understanding Social Vulnerabilities and Risks  ...  A combination of meteorological and hydrological such extreme precipitation and flows is one and human activity is another.  ...  This would give us a bird's eye view of the river of which data can later be used for bacterial loading analysis and for other hydrological studies.  ... 
doi:10.1007/978-981-287-615-7_6 fatcat:4anjj6pd4vakrhtg3ferkq3nhe

International EcoHealth One Health Congress 2016

2016 EcoHealth  
The statistical analysis showed the construction of hydroelectric plants have contributed to increase the dengue cases in the state (p 0.05) and the annual average cost has increased from US$ 2,462,528  ...  including economic evaluation of health impacts.  ...  The 'Ebola Economic Impact' study uses a mixed method approach to document the impacts of the 2014-15 Ebola Virus Disease outbreak on the operations of a mining firm in Liberia and estimate the costs of  ... 
doi:10.1007/s10393-016-1182-0 pmid:27752838 fatcat:vq33qrth5rgjpkjxwnpx4fc4r4

Social vulnerability to climate change in Cambodia, Lao PDR, and Vietnam [chapter]

Nguyen Huu Ninh, Luong Quang Huy, Philip Michael Kelly, Phan Toan
2022 Sustainable Development: Asia-Pacific Perspectives  
New evidences show that climate change has affected many sectors in Asia (medium confidence).  ...  An empirical model projected that the population at risk of dengue fever (the estimated risk of dengue transmission is greater than 50%) will be larger in India and China (Hales et al., 2002) .  ...  , fishers and farmers to timely weather forecasts There are many adaptation measures that could be applied in various parts of Asia to minimise the impacts of climate change on water resources and use:  ... 
doi:10.1017/9780511977961.029 fatcat:fdm2jvgtuvcinmfbp44siqec44

New Vectors of Rift Valley Fever in West Africa

D. Fontenille
1998 Emerging Infectious Diseases  
His research is focused on improving the clinical and public health response to emerging and epidemic-prone infectious diseases in high-and low-income settings.  ...  Acknowledgments We thank Joan Beck, Kira Moresco, and James Doster for valuable technical assistance, and William G. Lindsley for providing the NIOSH BC 251 sampler used in this study.  ...  and climate drivers of dengue fever, chikungunya, and Zika virus disease in the Caribbean.  ... 
doi:10.3201/eid0402.980218 pmid:9621201 pmcid:PMC2640145 fatcat:na257nbmu5bklnymd3igiayz5y

State of the Climate in 2003

2004 Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS)  
While a general return to near-normal rainfall patterns commenced during February, the hydrological, agricultural and societal impacts of one of Australia's worst droughts in its recorded meteorological  ...  In fact, more cases | of dengue fever were reported during the first 2 months of 2003 in Ecuador than during all of 2002 (source: International Society for Infectious Diseases).  ...  Although the 2002/03 Australian meteorological drought subsided in mid-2003, the gradual return to near-normal conditions meant that the hydrological drought remained, with subsequent and severe impacts  ... 
doi:10.1175/bams-85-6-levinson fatcat:yrq6kdogujhprnw6bhlqxxpgbm

A changing Arctic - dialogues from the North

Dragana Bojovic, Marta Terrado, Isadora Christel, Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes, Halldór Jóhannsson, Luisa Cristini, Thomas Jung
2018 Zenodo  
Proceedings of the 5th International Climate Change Adaptation Conference, Cape Town, South Africa, 18 -21 June 2018  ...  Improving evaluative capacity within the sector is one way we can understand if efforts are contributing to successful adaptation.  ...  The views expressed in this work are those of the creators and do not necessarily represent those of DfID and IDRC or its Board of Governors.  ... 
doi:10.5281/zenodo.2590955 fatcat:6nibfwoohrh63igcehy3m2dgg4

Environmental Aspects of Zoonotic Diseases

Robert Armon, Uta Cheruti
2012 Water Intelligence Online  
original work is properly cited and that any new works are made available on the same conditions (  ...  This is an Open Access book distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits copying and redistribution for non-commercial purposes, provided the  ...  In tropical countries, temperature and rainfall impact the distribution of Dengue Fever virus (Halstead, 2008) .  ... 
doi:10.2166/9781780400761 fatcat:bydnntwffrhixnioaryjvwoexi

Recent Changes in Amazon Forest Biomass and Dynamics [chapter]

Oliver L. Phillips, Simon L. Lewis, Niro Higuchi, Tim Baker
2016 Ecological Studies  
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We would like to thank the Peruvian Ministry of Environment (MINAM), the CBD secretariat, IAI and Pro-Ambiente (GIZ) for inviting us to take part in the meeting. D.  ...  A much broader body of scientists and experts contributed to defining traits and gathering species information, and are listed in full in Foden et al. (2013).  ...  Since the first dengue fever outbreak in Nepal in 2006, dengue fever and its vector Aedes aegypti have spread across low and high altitudes (90 m ->1300 m above sea level) (Dhimal, Ahrens, and Kuch 2015  ... 
doi:10.1007/978-3-662-49902-3_10 fatcat:qfzdpaoigvechdybhvmkfq4knu

Anthropogenic marine debris and its dynamics across peri-urban and urban mangroves on Penang Island, Malaysia [article]

Su Yin Chee, John Barry Gallagher, Jean Chai Yee, Danielle Carey, Yusri Yusup
2019 biorxiv/medrxiv   pre-print
Diversity of debris forms were consistent with the type of land use and population livelihood in each area.  ...  To address this shortfall, abundance, sorting, and diversity parameters of AMD were evaluated across the canopy of Penang's urban and peri-urban mangroves.  ...  This includes the molecular analysis of population and species biodiversity using molecular methods in species identification, delimitation, revealing cryptic species which typically have high incidence  ... 
doi:10.1101/756106 fatcat:m6oy4besircffmdhmffppw6yra

TIES-GRASPA 2017 on Climate and Environment The 27 th Annual Conference of The International Environmetrics Society joint with Biennial GRASPA Conference Book of Abstracts TIES-GRASPA 2017 Conference

Michela Cameletti, Francesco Finazzi, Michela Cameletti, Francesco Finazzi
Analysis of Extremes in  ...  performed to evaluate the impact of a Demand Response (DR) project developed in the city of Isernia, in southern Italy.  ...  The objective of this talk is to study dengue incidence in a medium-sized Colombian city with a high dengue incidence in the period January 2009 to December 2015 using Bayesian disease mapping models with  ... 
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