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The control versus resilience rationale for managing systems under uncertainty

Arjen Y Hoekstra, Rianne Bijlsma, Maarten S. Krol
2018 Environmental Research Letters  
We compare two rationales for the management of social-ecological systems under uncertainty: control and resilience.  ...  Based on a literature review, we develop a framework contrasting both rationales through their preferred (contrary) system attributes.  ...  The management of systems under uncertainty has been the subject of much scientific study.  ... 
doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aadf95 fatcat:7e5cjqfhzbfwbn23xio244dqoe

Decision-Making Under Uncertainty in Research Synthesis: Designing for the Garden of Forking Paths [article]

Alex Kale, Matthew Kay, Jessica Hullman
2019 arXiv   pre-print
We identify opportunities to design systems which help researchers explore, reason about, and communicate uncertainty in decision-making about possible analyses in research synthesis.  ...  To identify challenges and opportunities related to designing systems to help researchers manage uncertainty around which of multiple analyses is best, we interviewed 11 professional researchers who conduct  ...  Based on our interviews and analysis, we identify a set of design challenges around making it more feasible for researchers to try and report multiple analyses, shifting researchers' attention from rationales  ... 
arXiv:1901.02957v2 fatcat:s47yggo6ebgh5l3rfixpfpkhia

Special Issue: Design Rationale

Janet E. Burge, Rob Bracewell
2008 Artificial intelligence for engineering design, analysis and manufacturing  
"Researching Under Uncertainty," by Burge, describes the controversy over the usefulness of rationale versus the potential cost of its collection.  ...  The remaining articles describe research into the uses of rationale that include capturing and maintaining design constraints, understanding existing designs, supporting design research, providing traceability  ...  "Researching Under Uncertainty," by Burge, describes the controversy over the usefulness of rationale versus the potential cost of its collection.  ... 
doi:10.1017/s0890060408000206 fatcat:mjbqcbkykzecjnxeze33ezqnpq

Money in Monetary Policy Design under Uncertainty: The Two-Pillar Phillips Curve versus ECB-Style Cross-Checking

Guenter W. Beck, Volker Wieland
2006 Social Science Research Network  
The monetary pillar appears to stand for the ECB's concern for 'robustifying' its policy under uncertainty and is subjected to regular scrutiny and learning.  ...  Under imperfect knowledge, however, cross-checking may once in a while have a very important effect on interest rate policy. 10 6 Cross-checking and policy misperceptions Recent research exploiting data  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.954953 fatcat:4p5hbcwzzzhzxdkgoyk5ldpa3y

Design Rationale as Theory [chapter]

John M. Carroll, Mary Beth Rosson
2003 HCI Models, Theories, and Frameworks  
This information comprises the design rationale of the system.  ...  Design rationale can contribute to theory development in HCI in three ways.  ...  Office of Naval Research (N00014-00-1-0549), and The Hitachi Foundation Information Technology in Education Initiative.  ... 
doi:10.1016/b978-155860808-5/50015-0 fatcat:ygalbvly6ng55g2frvmnfeuljy

Optimal Design and Planning of Glycerol-Based Biorefinery Supply Chains under Uncertainty

Carina L. Gargalo, Ana Carvalho, Krist V. Gernaey, Gürkan Sin
2017 Industrial & Engineering Chemistry Research  
under uncertainties.  ...  To achieve this, a decision-making framework is proposed in this work, to holistically optimize the design and planning of the glycerol-based biorefinery supply chains under uncertainties.  ...  Furthermore, the financial support from Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (under Grant No. SFRH/BSAB/128453/2017) is also acknowledged.  ... 
doi:10.1021/acs.iecr.7b02882 fatcat:ke4ar6xz45eehpk2ynm2rhpozq

Regulating Financial Networks Under Uncertainty

Carlos Ramírez
2019 Social Science Research Network  
Under certain conditions, regulation that reduces the risk-taking incentives of a small set of institutions can improve welfare.  ...  I show that such uncertainty reduces the scope for welfare-improving interventions.  ...  Importance of network uncertainty To appreciate the importance of network uncertainty for policy design, I now explore (via numerical solutions) how the optimal intervention varies with ( Poisson networks  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.3433184 fatcat:ukjsq2wz3rbgzau7efdmkbqa7e

Strategic Urban Development Under Uncertainty

Flavia Cortelezzi, Pierpaolo Giannoccolo
2009 Social Science Research Network  
This paper has been realised within the research program "Modelli non lineari in economia e ...nanza: dinamiche complesse, disequilibrio, interazioni strategiche".  ...  Alternatively, it can be argued that under uncertainty larger …rms have a relative advantage in making commitments credibly and are inclined to move …rst, while smaller …rms prefer to move second (see,  ...  Since @ @ > 0 a greater uncertainty induce an higher trigger value.  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.1375369 fatcat:z4inezzx4jhzdnqmykjmz4gvzy

Regulating Stock Externalities Under Uncertainty

Richard G. Newell, William A. Pizer
2000 Social Science Research Network  
Discussion papers are research materials circulated by their authors for purposes of information and discussion.  ...  Stock Regulation Under Uncertainty Research on optimal policy choice under uncertainty has generally dealt with situations where both benefits and costs are a function only of current output, as in Weitzman's  ...  Although state-contingent policies could, in principle, be designed to maintain this proposition even under conditions of uncertainty, such policies would be of little if any practical use.  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.223774 fatcat:4g2wip6vdnfbrmgandrldkvumi

A survey of architecture design rationale

Antony Tang, Muhammad Ali Babar, Ian Gorton, Jun Han
2006 Journal of Systems and Software  
Based on the findings, we conclude that further research is needed to develop methodology and tool support for design rationale capture and usage.  ...  Furthermore, we put forward some specific research questions about design rationale that could be further investigated to benefit industry practice.  ...  The results will allow us to develop a design rationale methodology and associated tools to enhance the future use and documentation of design rationale during software design and maintenance.  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.jss.2006.04.029 fatcat:nzip4ufdkbdrnpjdbk4bqa7ofy

Learning Under Uncertainty: Networks in Crisis Management

Donald P. Moynihan
2005 Social Science Research Network  
"Learning under Uncertainty: Networks in Crisis Management." Public Administration Review 68(2): 350-361.  ...  Acknowledgments An earlier version of this paper was presented at the 8th Public Management Research Conference, University of Southern California, September 29 -October 1, 2005.  ...  anonymous reviewers from Public Administration Review for their exceptional suggestions and to Mark Abramson, Jonathan Bruel, and John Kamensky of the IBM Center for the Business of Government for providing research  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.868712 fatcat:xqzcmmhqsvaaxgkblz42qg4cfq

Macroeconomic Activity Under Uncertainty: How Firm-Level and Aggregate-Level Uncertainties Interact

Alon Kalay, Suresh Nallareddy, Gil Sadka
2016 Social Science Research Network  
Our ...ndings with respect to the interaction of di¤erent forms of uncertainty furthers our understating of how uncertainty a¤ects macroeconomic activity and has implications for policy setters.  ...  In this paper, we hypothesize and ...nd that the e¤ects of ...rm-level and aggregate-level uncertainty interact.  ...  Section 3 discusses our research design and variable measurement. Section 4 presents our main empirical results.  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2738351 fatcat:nq4xs46pbfeo7lil3bg4el2zue

Local Consequences of Global Uncertainty: Capacity Development and LNG Trade Under Shale Gas and Demand Uncertainty and Disruption Risk

Ruud Egging, Franziska Holz
2015 Social Science Research Network  
Here, we investigate investment behavior and trade in an imperfect market structure under uncertainty in both supply and demand.  ...  oil price uncertainty and studies by Zhuang (2005) and Zhuang and Gabriel (2008) who looked into long-term contracting under gas spot price uncertainty.  ...  The "boom" scenario follows the Golden Age of Gas case designed by the IEA (2012a).  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2647241 fatcat:dkkfjjphebfhvndlb5a5lp2hly

Second Best Environmental Policies under Uncertainty

Fabio Antoniou, Panos Hatzipanayotou, Phoebe Koundouri
2010 Social Science Research Network  
Under these modes of uncertainty we derive su¢ cient conditions under which the governments optimally choose an emissions tax over an emissions standard. JEL classi...cation: F12, F18, Q58.  ...  These provide stimulus for future research.  ...  Following Stavins' rationale we should expect that when uncertainties are positively correlated, the use of standards should become more likely.  ... 
doi:10.2139/ssrn.1556991 fatcat:illhjva4rfdihmxjdcq4ehgt6q

Collaborative Design Rationale and Social Creativity in Cultures of Participation [chapter]

Gerhard Fischer, Frank Shipman
2012 Creativity and Rationale  
case studies) and provides evidence that design rationale and creativity do not have to be at odds with each other.  ...  Coordinating and integrating collective design rationale and social creatively provides new synergies and opportunities particularly in the context of complex, open-ended, and ill-defined design problems  ...  Ray McCall and Andres Morch have been collaborators in our research on design rationale for a long time.  ... 
doi:10.1007/978-1-4471-4111-2_20 fatcat:icqpzesjine2fis3jpgdf6fhqe
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