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New Product Sales Forecasting: An Approach for the Insurance Business

Judith Kaltenbacher, Reinhold Decker
2014 World Journal of Management  
A real-world application provides promising results and illustrates the value of the new approach. JEL Codes: M31  ...  Against this background, this paper develops and empirically validates a framework for a quantitative sales forecasting model.  ...  Thus, the word of mouth factor, , increases awareness when recommendation behaviour is above average, dampens awareness in the case of below-average recommendation and keeps awareness constant when recommendation  ... 
doi:10.21102/wjm.2014.03.51.03 fatcat:526k4vgusvcilez5crodnmbngq

Counterfactual Randomization: Rescuing Experimental Studies from Obscured Confounding

Andrew Forney, Elias Bareinboim
2019 PROCEEDINGS OF THE THIRTIETH AAAI CONFERENCE ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND THE TWENTY-EIGHTH INNOVATIVE APPLICATIONS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE CONFERENCE  
Our paper presents a novel experimental design that can be noninvasively layered atop past and future RCTs to not only expose the presence of UCs in a system, but also reveal patient- and practitioner-specific  ...  Applications are given to personalized medicine, second opinions in diagnosis, and employing offline results in online recommender systems.  ...  Acknwledgements Bareinboim's research is supported in parts by grants from IBM Research, Adobe Research, NSF IIS-1704352, and IIS-1750807 (CAREER).  ... 
doi:10.1609/aaai.v33i01.33012454 fatcat:eidgoti7vff55ohk6v2yj7q64e

DACSR: Decoupled-Aggregated End-to-End Calibrated Sequential Recommendation [article]

Jiayi Chen, Wen Wu, Liye Shi, Yu Ji, Wenxin Hu, Wei Zheng, Liang He
2022 arXiv   pre-print
On the other hand, it can improve the diversity of recommendations to a certain degree.  ...  Experiments on two benchmark datasets demonstrate the ability of our model to provide accurate and calibrated recommendations.  ...  Kaya and Bridge [18] compared intent-aware algorithms and calibration algorithms.  ... 
arXiv:2204.10796v12 fatcat:lkcnsen6qzdq3ku6ebjf3j4apu

Impact of Portion Control Tools on Portion Size Awareness, Choice and Intake: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

M. Angeles Vargas-Alvarez, Santiago Navas-Carretero, Luigi Palla, J. Alfredo Martínez, Eva Almiron-Roig
2021 Nutrients  
Overall, 55% of studies reported a significant impact of using a tool (typically smaller bowl, fork or glass; or calibrated plate).  ...  A meta-analysis of 28 articles confirmed an overall effect of tool on food intake (d = –0.22; 95%CI: –0.38, –0.06; 21 comparisons), mostly driven by combinations of reduced-size bowls and spoons decreasing  ...  statistical advice and sharing data files for meta-analyses; and Stephen Holden (Macquarie Graduate School of Management, Australia) for sharing his database used in a previous meta-analysis.  ... 
doi:10.3390/nu13061978 pmid:34207492 pmcid:PMC8229078 fatcat:c7ltakuw2be73eb3x2kqti2j54

Students' intentions to study non-compulsory mathematics: the importance of how good you think you are

Richard Sheldrake, Tamjid Mujtaba, Michael J. Reiss
2014 British Educational Research Journal  
A longitudinal cohort from England (1085 students) was surveyed at Years 10 and 12.  ...  Students' self-beliefs of ability influenced their GCSE mathematics grades and their intended and actual mathematics subject-choices; the degree of under-confidence or over-confidence related to these  ...  We are grateful to participating teachers and students and to other members of the UPMAP team. Please contact the lead author regarding access to the underlying research materials if required. NOTES  ... 
doi:10.1002/berj.3150 fatcat:v4dzzlqgofhbjg2mmgbzwjrdke

Randomised controlled trial of the effects of physical activity feedback on awareness and behaviourin UK adults: the FAB study protocol [ISRCTN92551397]

Clare Watkinson, Esther MF van Sluijs, Stephen Sutton, Theresa Marteau, Simon J Griffin
2010 BMC Public Health  
Secondary objectives are to determine the influence of feedback on physical activity awareness and cognitions, and to compare behavioural effects by type of feedback.  ...  activity, psychosocial correlates of physical activity behaviour, diet, lifestyle and general health), participants wear a combined heart rate and movement sensor (Actiheart®) for six continuous days  ...  Little is known about the effects of external feedback on physical activity awareness, intentions and behaviour, and even less about the efficacy of different types of feedback [16] .  ... 
doi:10.1186/1471-2458-10-144 pmid:20298560 pmcid:PMC2859395 fatcat:5bk42cb5qrdp5c4lbc2thqurbm

An Empirical Assessment of the Above the Influence Advertising Campaign

Lawrence M. Scheier, Jerry L. Grenard, Kristen D. Holtz
2011 Journal of Drug Education  
Findings suggest that awareness of ATI is associated with greater anti-drug beliefs, fewer drug use intentions, and less marijuana use. Congruent with the  ...  The campaign uses public service anti-drug prevention messages and targets youth between the ages of 14 and 16, a period of heightened susceptibility to peer influences.  ...  Grenard, Ph.D. provided assistance in the development of calibration and validation samples and used Mplus to test model equivalence.  ... 
doi:10.2190/de.41.4.f pmid:22455104 fatcat:qr26vuv6q5hjvlet6lstabmd4e

Effects of Scene Detection, Scene Prediction, and Maneuver Planning Visualizations on Trust, Situation Awareness, and Cognitive Load in Highly Automated Vehicles

Mark Colley, Max Rädler, Jonas Glimmann, Enrico Rukzio
2022 Proceedings of the ACM on Interactive Mobile Wearable and Ubiquitous Technologies  
Therefore, we report the results of an online study (N=216) comparing visualizations and their combinations on these three levels using a pre-recorded real-world video with visualizations shown on a simulated  ...  Effects on trust, cognitive load, situation awareness, and perceived safety were measured. Situation Prediction-related visualizations were perceived as worse than the remaining levels.  ...  This work was conducted within the projects 'Interaction between automated vehicles and vulnerable road users' (Intuitiver) funded by the Ministry of Science, Research and Arts of the State of Baden-Württemberg  ... 
doi:10.1145/3534609 fatcat:fwpg4yb7ijf6pe2fz6u25hfgdi

Eleven peak flow meters: a clinical evaluation

I. Gregg, H. Folgering, U. Costabel
1998 European Respiratory Journal  
The intention of the study by FOLGERING et al.  ...  PH, Lebowitz MD, Gregg I, Miller MR, Pedersen OF. Peak expiratory flow: conclusions and recommendations of a working party of the European Respiratory Society. Eur Respir J 1997; 10: Suppl. 24, 25-85.  ...  What he did in his study was to compare the flow values shown on the peak flow meters with the values of a calibrated pneumotachograph.  ... 
doi:10.1183/09031936.98.12020511 pmid:9727812 fatcat:oukuats7mbbvxje5in6usowt7a

The Virtual Doctor: An Interactive Artificial Intelligence based on Deep Learning for Non-Invasive Prediction of Diabetes [article]

Sebastian Spänig, Agnes Emberger-Klein, Jan-Peter Sowa, Ali Canbay, Klaus Menrad, Dominik Heider
2019 arXiv   pre-print
As a proof-of-concept, the system is able to predict type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) based on non-invasive sensors and deep neural networks.  ...  In the current study, we developed an AI that is able to interact with a patient (virtual doctor) by using a speech recognition and speech synthesis system and thus can autonomously interact with the patient  ...  JS and AC provided clinical information and analyzed and interpreted the data. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.  ... 
arXiv:1903.12069v1 fatcat:tpmabx6ukzeahmhmsnbwlro52m

Where Does Theory Have It Right? A Comparison of Theory-Driven and Empirical Agent Based Models

Firouzeh Taghikhah, Tatiana Filatova, Alexey Voinov
2021 Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation  
We propose a comparison framework to address this methodological dilemma, which quantitatively explores the gap in predictions between theory-and data-driven ABMs.  ...  However, it remains unclear to what extent theory-driven ABMs mislead, if at all, a choice of a policy when compared to the outcomes of models with empirical micro-foundations.  ...  Acknowledgments Authors wish to thank the editor and three anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and suggestions on this manuscript.  ... 
doi:10.18564/jasss.4573 fatcat:5ph6756i7zh63ib2rlbouh246y

Rethinking hearing aids as recommender systems

Alessandro Pasta, Michael Kai Petersen, Kasper Juul Jensen, Jakob Eg Larsen
2019 ACM Conference on Recommender Systems  
environment in order to recommend the optimal settings in a given context and situation.  ...  However, rethinking hearing aids as context-aware recommender systems poses some challenges.  ...  ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We would like to thank Oticon A/S, Eriksholm Research Centre, and Research Clinician Rikke Rossing for providing hardware, access to test subjects, clinical approval and clinical resources  ... 
dblp:conf/recsys/PastaPJL19 fatcat:wkn7psxabnbrzkasb457seynnm

Liquid Medication Dosing Error amongst Parents Caregivers at Outpatient Clinic

Smit Patel, Sharvari Kolte, Hemal Magdalia, Sandipkumar Bhatt, Rohit Patel
2022 Indian Journal of Pharmacy Practice  
), and asked to measure a dose of 5 mL using 3 measuring devices: dosing cup, oral dropper and calibrated spoon.  ...  About the instruments, the maximum number of participants measured an inaccurate dose with the calibrated spoon (10.9%), and the range of doses of oral dropper and calibrated spoon were higher than that  ...  We are also immensely grateful to the staff of both the hospitals for their constant support throughout the data collection process.  ... 
doi:10.5530/ijopp.15.3.42 fatcat:v4mlsfwji5dspoxy36govgbgdm

True process variation aware optical proximity correction with variational lithography modeling and model calibration

Peng Yu
2007 Journal of Micro/Nanolithography  
A true process-variation aware OPC (PV-OPC) framework is proposed using the V-EPE metric.  ...  The calibrated model has accuracy comparable to non-variational models, but it has the advantage of taking process variations into consideration.  ...  Appendix: VLIM BASED BOSSUNG CURVES DEDUCTION Focus-Exposure Matrix is defined as the variation of line width (and possibly other parameters) as a function of both focus and exposure energy.  ... 
doi:10.1117/1.2752814 fatcat:nztqlidtqndypaloz4355kxh3i

Supplemental Material, sj-pdf-1-jmx-10.1177_00222429211014902 - Virtual Reality in New Product Development: Insights from Pre-launch Sales Forecasting for Durables

Nathalie Harz, Sebastian Hohenberg, Christian Homburg
2021 Figshare  
Christian Homburg in Journal of Marketing  ...  Supplemental Material, sj-pdf-1-jmx-10.1177_00222429211014902 for Virtual Reality in New Product Development: Insights from Pre-launch Sales Forecasting for Durables by Nathalie Harz, Sebastian Hohenberg and  ...  Urban (1970) -not included -Brand aware, Ad aware, Aware of specific appeals, Aware due to WOM -Not included -Is the product found at a retail store Purchase intention Real-life application (after launch  ... 
doi:10.25384/sage.15043410.v1 fatcat:tdw5lwksmfd2rm4fpai4gpha2y
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